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Super League
Referee: A Tsamouris
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Super League · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
45%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 10
4 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 12. · Aris Thessalonikis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 18 6 0 +39 60
2 PAOK 24 16 5 3 +21 53
3 AEK 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Panathinaikos 24 10 8 6 +4 38
5 Aris 23 8 9 6 +8 33
6 Aris Thessalonikis 22 8 8 6 +8 32
7 OFI Crete 24 9 5 10 +5 32
8 Larisa 25 7 9 9 -6 30
9 Xanthi 25 8 4 13 -12 28
10 Volos NFC 24 8 4 12 -18 28
11 Atromitos 23 7 6 10 -5 27
12 Asteras Tripolis 24 7 5 12 -3 26
13 Lamia 24 5 11 8 -11 26
14 Panionios 25 4 5 16 -26 17
15 Panetolikos 24 3 7 14 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.