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Super League
Referee: G Tassis
2–0
Full-time
Panionios
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panionios
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Super League · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

21 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Panionios 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 18 6 0 +39 60
2 PAOK 23 16 5 2 +23 53
3 AEK 22 11 6 5 +14 39
4 Panathinaikos 23 9 8 6 +2 35
5 Aris 22 8 8 6 +8 32
6 OFI Crete 24 9 5 10 +5 32
7 Aris Thessalonikis 21 7 8 6 +6 29
8 Larisa 24 7 8 9 -6 29
9 Volos NFC 24 8 4 12 -18 28
10 Atromitos 22 7 6 9 -4 27
11 Xanthi 24 8 3 13 -12 27
12 Lamia 23 5 10 8 -11 25
13 Asteras Tripolis 22 6 4 12 -4 22
14 Panetolikos 23 3 7 13 -18 16
15 Panionios 23 4 4 15 -24 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panionios
17′
🟨 Ioannis Kiakos
1–0 Bruno Gama
N. Diguiny
31′
33′
🟨 Odysseas Lymperakis
2–0 I. Fetfatzidis
L. Rose
42′
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 O. Camara
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
59′
🔁 T. Papageorgiou
↦ G. Kiakos
67′
🟨 Oumar Camara
F. Durmishaj 🔁
↦ N. Diguiny
74′
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ D. Larsson
75′
76′
🔁 K. Doumtsios
↦ S. Evangelou
81′
🟨 Oumar Camara
81′
🟥 Oumar Camara
N. Martínez 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
84′
Javier Matilla 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-2
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
5 G. Delizisis D
3 Hugo Sousa D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
10 D. Larsson M
Bench (7)
96 F. Durmishaj
24 D. Mancini
18 N. Martínez
98 A. Ba
19 M. Tonso
40 P. Bagalianis
1 F. Ehmann

Coach: M. Oenning

Panionios

4-4-1-1
67 J. Malherbe G
5 Domingues D
4 S. Evangelou D
13 O. Lymperakis D
7 P. Korbos M
18 V. Rentzas D
16 I. Oikonomidis M
27 G. Papanikolaou M
10 B. Arabuli F
77 D. Emmanouilidis M
19 G. Kiakos F
Bench (7)
11 O. Camara
22 T. Papageorgiou
9 K. Doumtsios
12 M. Kotnik
44 N. Milojević
40 C. Retsos
32 A. Miço

Coach: N. Papavasiliou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.