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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
AEK
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match AEK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 9 3 0 +16 30
2 PAOK 12 8 4 0 +11 28
3 AEK 11 5 3 3 +2 18
4 Larisa 12 5 3 4 +1 18
5 OFI Crete 12 5 2 5 +6 17
6 Aris 11 4 4 3 +5 16
7 Xanthi 12 5 1 6 -3 16
8 Volos NFC 12 5 1 6 -7 16
9 Aris Thessalonikis 10 4 3 3 +5 15
10 Atromitos 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 Lamia 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Panathinaikos 11 3 3 5 -9 12
13 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -3 11
14 Panionios 12 2 4 6 -9 10
15 Panetolikos 11 0 3 8 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
Hélder Lopes 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Petros Mantalos 🟨
47′
53′
🟥 Brown Ideye
58′
🔁 D. Larsson
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ M. Deletić
61′
64′
D. Larsson 0–1
M. Korhut
C. Albanis 🔁
↦ David Simão
66′
73′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Bruno Gama
Paulinho 🔁
↦ M. Bakakis
75′
79′
🟨 Lindsay Rose
80′
🟨 Mihály Korhut
Giorgos Giakoumakis 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Fran Vélez
1–1 P. Mandalos
81′
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
85′
90′
🟨 Apostolos Tsilingiris
94′
🔁 Hugo Sousa
↦ Lucas Sasha
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
21 O. Vranješ D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
24 E. Svarnas D
22 David Simão M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
11 M. Deletić F
7 D. Verde F
Bench (7)
9 G. Giakoumakis
14 C. Albanis
27 Paulinho
28 S. Vasilantonopoulos
4 M. Oikonomou
77 C. Giousis
16 P. Tsintotas

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
75 A. Tsilingiris G
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
98 A. Ba M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
10 D. Larsson
24 D. Mancini
3 Hugo Sousa
23 Julián
38 P. Bakoutsis
18 N. Martínez
5 G. Delizisis

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.