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Super League

Referee: F Jović

AEK

T S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,7

This season — Super League · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 47%

52%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

48%

33%

Both score Ø 41%

48%

33%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

22 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	19	6	0	+40	63
2	PAOK	25	17	5	3	+25	56
3	AEK	23	12	6	5	+15	42
4	Panathinaikos	24	10	8	6	+4	38
5	Aris	23	8	9	6	+8	33
6	Aris Thessalonikis	23	8	9	6	+8	33
7	OFI Crete	25	9	5	11	+1	32
8	Larisa	25	7	9	9	-6	30
9	Xanthi	25	8	4	13	-12	28
10	Volos NFC	24	8	4	12	-18	28
11	Asteras Tripolis	25	7	6	12	-3	27
12	Atromitos	24	7	6	11	-6	27
13	Lamia	24	5	11	8	-11	26
14	Panionios	25	4	5	16	-26	17
15	Panetolikos	24	3	7	14	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	11	1	0	+23	34
2	PAOK	13	10	3	0	+20	33
3	AEK	12	7	4	1	+14	25
4	Aris	11	7	2	2	+14	23
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+14	23
6	OFI Crete	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Asteras Tripolis	13	6	4	3	+7	22
8	Panathinaikos	12	6	3	3	+8	21
9	Volos NFC	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Atromitos	13	4	5	4	+4	17
11	Larisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Lamia	12	3	7	2	-2	16
13	Xanthi	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Panionios	13	3	4	6	-2	13
15	Panetolikos	12	3	4	5	-3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	8	5	0	+17	29
2	PAOK	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	AEK	11	5	2	4	+1	17
4	Panathinaikos	12	4	5	3	-4	17
5	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-6	14
6	Xanthi	13	4	1	8	-12	13
7	Aris	12	1	7	4	-6	10
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	1	7	4	-6	10
9	Lamia	12	2	4	6	-9	10
10	Atromitos	11	3	1	7	-10	10
11	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-10	9
12	Volos NFC	12	2	2	8	-17	8
13	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	2	9	-10	5
14	Panionios	12	1	1	10	-24	4
15	Panetolikos	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.