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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Lillestrom
T U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Raufoss
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Raufoss 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 9 8 0 1 +12 24
2 Ranheim 9 7 0 2 +14 21
3 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 -2 17
4 Sogndal 9 5 1 3 +6 16
5 Asane 9 4 2 3 +3 14
6 Stjørdals-Blink 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Grorud 9 4 1 4 +0 13
8 Jerv 9 2 6 1 +3 12
9 KFUM Oslo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Lillestrom 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Strommen 9 3 1 5 -4 10
12 Raufoss 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Kongsvinger 9 2 2 5 -7 8
14 Ull/Kisa 9 1 4 4 -7 7
15 Øygarden 9 1 3 5 -9 6
16 Ham-Kam 9 0 3 6 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Raufoss
16′
M. Alm 0–1
1–1 T. Kallevåg
18′
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
29′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟥 O. Lauvli
54′
🔁 R. Johnsen
↦ R. Doghman
67′
G. Simenstad 1–2
S. Mauritz-Hansen 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
70′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
70′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
70′
K. Kairinen 🟨
83′
A. Sannes 🔁
↦ S. Mauritz-Hansen
83′
2–2 T. Olsen
86′
87′
🔁 L. Rochester Sørensen
↦ N. Fremstad
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
3 S. Mikalsen
4 T. Salquist
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
8 I. Mathew
21 M. Knudsen
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
14 F. Krogstad
11 S. Mauritz-Hansen
18 M. Ebiye
33 A. Melgalvis
27 A. Sannes
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 P. Slørdahl
25 J. Coppens
26 L. Ranger

Coach: G. Bakke

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
4 S. Simenstad
2 E. Race
5 M. Alm
7 É. Dadjo
22 K. Nessø
11 N. Fremstad
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
8 M. Moldskred
20 G. Simenstad
Bench (8)
23 R. Johnsen
9 L. Rochester Sørensen
3 A. Møllerhagen
14 O. Løken
15 M. Heiberg
18 I. Fandi
32 H. Leine
19 T. Andersen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.