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Super League

Referee: A Tsakalidis

Panetolikos

T T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Larisa

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

37%

Both score Ø 49%

40%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,56 xG 0,90

69% Possession 31%

17 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panetolikos 11. · Larisa 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	32	22	8	2	+38	+14.0	74
2	PAOK	32	19	9	4	+36	+3.9	66
3	Olympiakos	32	19	9	4	+34	+14.7	66
4	Panathinaikos	32	15	10	7	+17	+4.8	55
5	Levadeiakos	33	14	10	9	+18	-3.9	52
6	OFI Crete	34	13	3	18	-12	-7.3	42
7	Atromitos	35	10	11	14	-2	-0.8	41
8	Aris Thessalonikis	30	9	13	8	-2	-1.0	40
9	Aris	30	9	13	8	-2	–	40
10	Kifisia	35	8	14	13	-10	+3.0	38
11	Panetolikos	35	10	7	18	-14	-6.3	37
12	Volos NFC	33	9	6	18	-22	-3.2	33
13	Asteras Tripolis	35	6	12	17	-16	-3.3	30
14	Panserraikos	35	7	9	19	-41	-6.9	30
15	Larisa	35	5	14	16	-22	-7.7	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	16	14	1	1	+25	+9.3	43
2	PAOK	16	13	3	0	+28	+4.5	42
3	Olympiakos	16	10	4	2	+19	+6.2	34
4	Levadeiakos	17	9	5	3	+20	-0.6	32
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	OFI Crete	17	8	0	9	+4	-2.9	24
7	Aris Thessalonikis	15	4	9	2	+2	+4.2	21
8	Aris	15	4	9	2	+2	–	21
9	Volos NFC	16	5	6	5	-6	+2.6	21
10	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
11	Kifisia	17	4	6	7	-3	+2.9	18
12	Atromitos	18	4	6	8	-4	+0.9	18
13	Larisa	18	3	8	7	-10	-0.3	17
14	Panetolikos	17	4	2	11	-11	-0.5	14
15	Panserraikos	18	3	5	10	-21	-5.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	16	8	7	1	+13	+4.7	31
3	PAOK	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.7	24
4	Panathinaikos	16	6	5	5	+2	+3.0	23
5	Atromitos	17	6	5	6	+2	-1.7	23
6	Panetolikos	18	6	5	7	-3	-5.8	23
7	Levadeiakos	16	5	5	6	-2	-3.2	20
8	Kifisia	18	4	8	6	-7	+0.1	20
9	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	4	6	-4	-5.2	19
10	Aris	15	5	4	6	-4	–	19
11	OFI Crete	17	5	3	9	-16	-4.4	18
12	Panserraikos	17	4	4	9	-20	-1.7	16
13	Larisa	17	2	6	9	-12	-7.4	12
14	Volos NFC	17	4	0	13	-16	-5.8	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.