← Match Finder
Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Korona Kielce
S U S T U
2–3
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Korona Kielce Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
22%
78%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
33%
22%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,9
Conceded
1,4
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,72 xG 1,07
45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 +14 +5.4 22
2 Rakow 10 6 2 2 +9 +6.7 20
3 Cracovia 9 6 1 2 +5 -0.8 19
4 Jagiellonia 9 6 0 3 +0 -0.2 18
5 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 1 4 +3 +3.8 16
6 Widzew Lodz 10 4 4 2 +2 -1.5 16
7 Legia 10 4 3 3 +6 +4.2 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 3 2 +2 +1.0 15
9 Gornik Zabrze 10 3 3 4 +0 +1.0 12
10 GKS Katowice 10 3 3 4 -1 -4.4 12
11 Motor Lublin 10 3 3 4 -4 -1.8 12
12 Zaglebie 10 3 2 5 -7 -2.3 11
13 Radomiak Radom 9 3 0 6 -2 +0.4 9
14 Lechia Gdansk 10 2 3 5 -7 -6.6 9
15 Korona Kielce 9 2 3 4 -7 -4.6 9
16 Puszcza 10 1 5 4 -3 -1.8 8
17 Stal Mielec 8 2 1 5 -4 +0.9 7
18 Slask Wroclaw 8 0 4 4 -6 +0.6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Lech Poznan
Miłosz Trojak 🟨
4′
14′
P. Wålemark 0–1
Afonso Sousa
1–1 Pedro Nuno
Adrián Dalmau
27′
Martin Remacle 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
Yoav Hofmeister ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
55′
🟨 Dino Hotić
2–1 Pedro Nuno
57′
59′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ D. Hotić
61′
P. Wålemark 2–2
63′
P. Wålemark 2–3
M. Ishak
E. Shikavka 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
68′
W. Długosz 🔁
↦ H. Zwoźny
68′
73′
🔁 F. Jagiełło
↦ Afonso Sousa
73′
🔁 B. Fiabema
↦ P. Wålemark
S. Nagamatsu 🔁
↦ M. Remacle
75′
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ M. Fornalczyk
76′
D. Trejo 🔁
↦ Pedro Nuno
81′
85′
🟨 Bryan Fiabema
89′
🟨 Antonio Milić
89′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ M. Ishak
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

3-4-3
1 X. Dziekoński G
66 M. Trojak D
5 Pau Resta D
6 M. Pięczek D
37 H. Zwoźny M
27 Pedro Nuno M
18 Y. Hofmeister M
3 K. Matuszewski M
8 M. Remacle F
20 Adrián Dalmau F
17 M. Fornalczyk F
Bench (9)
9 E. Shikavka
71 W. Długosz
10 S. Nagamatsu
7 D. Błanik
21 D. Trejo
24 B. Smolarczyk
88 W. Kamiński
87 R. Mamla
2 D. Zator

Coach: J. Zieliński

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
3 A. Douglas D
16 A. Milić D
15 M. Gurgul D
21 D. Hotić M
22 R. Murawski M
43 A. Kozubal M
10 P. Wålemark M
7 Afonso Sousa F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
8 A. Gholizadeh
24 F. Jagiełło
19 B. Fiabema
17 F. Szymczak
55 M. Pingot
35 F. Bednarek
50 A. Ba Loua
18 B. Salamon
33 S. Lončar

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.