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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Aalborg
S S T S U
0–2
Full-time
Randers FC
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
36%
82%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
22 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Randers FC 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 12 7 3 2 +10 +9.9 24
2 Midtjylland 11 7 3 1 +9 +5.4 24
3 Aarhus 11 5 5 1 +14 +1.6 20
4 Silkeborg 11 5 4 2 +6 -0.8 19
5 Nordsjaelland 11 5 3 3 +5 +5.2 18
6 Brondby 11 5 3 3 +5 +6.3 18
7 Randers FC 11 3 6 2 +1 +0.2 15
8 Viborg 11 3 4 4 +1 -2.4 13
9 Aalborg 11 4 1 6 -10 -8.3 13
10 Lyngby 11 1 5 5 -6 -2.7 8
11 Sonderjyske 11 2 2 7 -14 -8.5 8
12 Vejle 12 0 1 11 -21 -5.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Randers FC
Kasper Davidsen 🟨
32′
40′
🟨 André Rømer
Half-time 0–0
M. Jiménez 🔁
↦ K. Davidsen
46′
46′
🔁 M. Touré
↦ F. Danho
63′
ℹ️ Mohamed Touré
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Mylian Jimenez 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 T. Bany
↦ N. Campbell
65′
S. Nordli 0–1
J. Iredale 🔁
↦ J. Adedeji
69′
71′
🔁 S. Odey
↦ S. Nordli
A. Jasson 🔁
↦ M. Bomholt
79′
Andres Jasson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
Mathias Jørgensen
penalty missed
89′
Kasper Jørgensen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Paul Izzo
Diego Caballo 🔁
↦ O. Ross
90′
M. Nielsen 🔁
↦ A. Bruus
90′
91′
🔁 B. Kopplin
↦ O. Zandén
91′
🔁 H. Andersson
↦ M. Greve
92′
🟨 Mohamed Touré
94′
ℹ️ Mohamed Touré
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Vincent Müller 🟨
95′
96′
M. Touré 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-3-3
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
13 B. Pudel D
14 A. Bruus D
21 M. Bomholt M
16 K. Davidsen M
8 M. Widell M
7 J. Adedeji F
10 O. Ross F
11 M. Jørgensen F
Bench (9)
6 M. Jiménez
19 J. Iredale
17 A. Jasson
15 Diego Caballo
5 M. Nielsen
27 K. John
35 E. Amankwah
37 A. Diagne
22 R. de Boer

Coach: M. van Dam

Randers FC

4-3-2-1
1 P. Izzo G
27 O. Olsen D
3 D. Høegh D
4 W. Dammers D
29 O. Zandén D
6 J. Björkengren M
28 A. Rømer M
17 M. Greve M
10 N. Campbell M
9 S. Nordli M
26 F. Danho F
Bench (9)
7 M. Touré
19 T. Bany
90 S. Odey
15 B. Kopplin
5 H. Andersson
30 M. Themsen
16 L. Pedersen
18 Noah Shamoun
25 O. Snorre

Coach: R. Bertelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.