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DBU Pokalen
Referee: S Funder
Avarta
T S S
2–3
Full-time
Esbjerg
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avarta Esbjerg
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
5,5
Scored
1,7
4,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
6,0
Scored
2,0
5,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Avarta 15. · Esbjerg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Næsby 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Skive 3 3 0 0 +13 9
3 Frem 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Brabrand 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Holbæk B&I 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Holstebro 3 2 0 1 +10 6
7 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
8 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
9 Fredericia 3 2 0 1 +9 6
10 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +9 6
11 Ishøj 3 2 0 1 +8 6
12 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +8 6
13 HB Koge 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 B 93 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Avarta 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
19 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 FC Helsingor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
21 Vendsyssel FF 3 2 0 1 -3 6
22 Middelfart 3 1 2 0 +1 5
23 Viborg 2 1 1 0 +4 4
24 Nykobing FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Fremad Amager 3 1 1 1 +0 4
26 Brønshøj 3 1 1 1 -2 4
27 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +9 3
28 Randers FC 2 1 0 1 +9 3
29 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +5 3
31 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 OKS 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Hobro 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 AB Copenhagen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Allerød 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Aarhus Fremad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 SGI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Herlev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 B 1908 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 B 1913 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Solrød 2 1 0 1 -4 3
52 Give Fremad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Morud/Veflinge 2 1 0 1 -6 3
54 ACFC 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Vejle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Kolding B 2 0 1 1 -1 1
59 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 BBB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 FB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
98 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
99 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
100 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
102 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
103 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avarta Esbjerg
11′
A. Lausen 0–1
1–1 M. Balck
E. Willer-Hansen
20′
M. Yndeheim 🟨
21′
29′
🟨 J. Beck
37′
M. Ladefoged 1–2
A. Lausen
Half-time 1–3
46′
M. Ladefoged 1–3
A. Lausen
A. Spasojevic 🔁
↦ D. Thorup
46′
K. Östergaard 🔁
↦ S. Ustrup
60′
60′
🔁 F. Flaskager
↦ L. From
60′
🔁 T. Freriks
↦ N. Strunck
60′
🔁 M. Maden
↦ M. Ladefoged
A. Spasojevic 🟨
62′
M. Eslund 🟨
67′
A. Manneh 🔁
↦ J. Jørgensen
70′
T. Lerche-Henriksen 🔁
↦ S. Brodersen
70′
70′
🔁 J. Mortensen
↦ A. Lausen
M. Vinterberg 🔁
↦ M. Balck
79′
79′
🔁 B. Baldursson
↦ J. Beck
2–3 M. Vinterberg
K. Östergaard
85′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Avarta

16 M. Yndeheim
2 D. Thorup
20 S. Ustrup
15 A. Larsen
12 L. Mattey
8 M. Balck
7 S. Brodersen
10 E. Willer-Hansen
23 H. Sighaoui
9 J. Jørgensen
6 M. Eslund
Bench (9)
5 A. Spasojevic
19 K. Östergaard
21 A. Manneh
14 T. Lerche-Henriksen
11 M. Vinterberg
17 E. Ikeocha
1 T. Gall
18 N. Kristiansen
4 N. Andreasen

Coach: B. Gall

Esbjerg

16 K. Kristensen
6 J. Lauridsen
3 A. Skipper
4 P. Tjørnelund
25 J. Meyer
19 N. Strunck
11 P. Bjur
12 A. Lausen
17 J. Beck
7 L. From
9 M. Ladefoged
Bench (9)
26 F. Flaskager
14 T. Freriks
8 M. Maden
2 J. Mortensen
27 B. Baldursson
34 E. Jørgensen
39 E. Andersen
15 T. Stagaard
5 A. Troelsen

Coach: L. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Funder · 17 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.