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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Palermo
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Sudtirol
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 6. · Sudtirol 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 34 24 6 4 +41 78
2 Pisa 34 20 7 7 +24 67
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 34 15 11 8 +18 56
5 Juve Stabia 35 14 11 10 +2 53
6 Palermo 34 13 9 12 +9 48
7 Catanzaro 35 10 18 7 +4 48
8 Bari 34 9 17 8 +3 44
9 Modena 34 10 14 10 +1 44
10 Cesena 34 11 11 12 -1 44
11 Carrarese 34 10 11 13 -8 41
12 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
13 Sudtirol 34 10 8 16 -9 38
14 Mantova 34 8 13 13 -11 37
15 Salernitana 34 9 9 16 -11 36
16 Cittadella 34 9 9 16 -22 36
17 Brescia 34 7 14 13 -8 35
18 Sampdoria 34 7 14 13 -12 35
19 Reggiana 34 8 11 15 -12 35
20 Cosenza 34 6 13 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Sudtirol
12′
🟨 Frédéric Veseli
1–0 P. Ceccaroni
J. Pohjanpalo
27′
Half-time 1–0
Giangiacomo Magnani 🟨
46′
47′
A. Barreca 1–1
D. Nikolaou 🔁
↦ P. Ceccaroni
53′
63′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ J. Martini
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ K. Lund
65′
N. Pierozzi 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
65′
71′
🔁 S. Davì
↦ A. Barreca
71′
🔁 A. Mallamo
↦ L. Belardinelli
75′
G. Gori 1–2
76′
🟨 Gabriele Gori
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ G. Magnani
82′
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ A. Blin
82′
86′
🔁 S. Molina
↦ G. Gori
86′
🔁 R. Kofler
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
Matteo Brunori 🟨
91′
95′
🟨 Nicola Pietrangeli
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-2-1
12 E. Audero G
4 R. Baniya D
24 G. Magnani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
7 F. Di Mariano M
6 C. Gomes M
28 A. Blin M
3 K. Lund M
8 J. Segre F
9 M. Brunori F
19 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
43 D. Nikolaou
14 A. Vasić
27 N. Pierozzi
21 J. Le Douaron
17 F. Di Francesco
23 S. Diakité
26 V. Verre
10 F. Ranocchia
11 R. Insigne
46 S. Sirigu
20 T. Henry
25 A. Buttaro

Coach: A. Dionisi

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
30 A. Giorgini D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
34 F. Veseli D
2 H. El Kaouakibi M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
6 J. Martini M
20 L. Belardinelli M
3 A. Barreca M
33 S. Merkaj F
9 G. Gori F
Bench (12)
21 F. Tait
24 S. Davì
8 A. Mallamo
79 S. Molina
28 R. Kofler
7 M. Rover
14 F. Davi
16 E. Lamanna
5 A. Masiello
1 G. Poluzzi
90 R. Odogwu
63 E. Vergani

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
2,99
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.