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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Sudtirol
S U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 33%
27%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
58%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 17. · Juve Stabia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 34 24 6 4 +41 78
2 Pisa 34 20 7 7 +24 67
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 34 15 11 8 +18 56
5 Juve Stabia 33 13 11 9 +2 50
6 Catanzaro 33 10 18 5 +8 48
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 34 9 17 8 +3 44
9 Modena 34 10 14 10 +1 44
10 Cesena 34 11 11 12 -1 44
11 Carrarese 34 10 11 13 -8 41
12 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
13 Mantova 34 8 13 13 -11 37
14 Salernitana 34 9 9 16 -11 36
15 Cittadella 34 9 9 16 -22 36
16 Brescia 34 7 14 13 -8 35
17 Sudtirol 33 9 8 16 -11 35
18 Sampdoria 34 7 14 13 -12 35
19 Reggiana 34 8 11 15 -12 35
20 Cosenza 34 6 13 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -24 Juve Stabia – Sudtirol 2–1

Match report

Sudtirol Juve Stabia
5′
🔁 G. Leone
↦ D. Buglio
1–0 R. Odogwu
N. Pyyhtiä
18′
Raphael Odogwu 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Fabio Maistro
56′
🟨 Leonardo Candellone
63′
🔁 L. Sgarbi
↦ K. Piscopo
63′
🔁 N. Mosti
↦ F. Maistro
69′
🟨 Christian Pierobon
69′
ℹ️ Lorenzo Sgarbi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
71′
🟨 Lorenzo Sgarbi
J. Martini 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
73′
F. Veseli 🔁
↦ A. Masiello
73′
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
78′
2–0 S. Merkaj
R. Odogwu
78′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
80′
L. Belardinelli 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
81′
84′
🔁 E. Dubickas
↦ C. Pierobon
84′
🔁 M. Bellich
↦ M. Varnier
G. Gori 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
88′
Gabriele Gori 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
30 A. Giorgini D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
79 S. Molina M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
28 R. Kofler M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davì M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
6 J. Martini
34 F. Veseli
21 F. Tait
20 L. Belardinelli
9 G. Gori
2 H. El Kaouakibi
1 G. Poluzzi
14 F. Davi
7 M. Rover
8 A. Mallamo
3 A. Barreca
63 E. Vergani

Coach: F. Castori

Juve Stabia

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
45 P. Peda D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
11 K. Piscopo F
37 F. Maistro F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
55 G. Leone
18 L. Sgarbi
98 N. Mosti
7 E. Dubickas
6 M. Bellich
80 A. Louati
13 M. Baldi
1 K. Matošević
2 D. Quaranta
28 C. Andreoni
14 M. Meli
25 A. Gerbo

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
2,97
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.