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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Zaragoza
T T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Castellon
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 3. · Castellon 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 11 8 2 1 +9 26
2 Mirandes 12 6 3 3 +3 21
3 Zaragoza 11 6 1 4 +7 19
4 Granada 11 5 4 2 +5 19
5 Oviedo 12 5 4 3 +1 19
6 Sp Gijon 11 5 3 3 +4 18
7 Levante 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Eibar 11 5 3 3 +1 18
9 Huesca 11 5 2 4 +5 17
10 Castellon 11 5 1 5 +3 16
11 Elche 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Almeria 11 4 3 4 -1 15
13 Burgos 11 4 3 4 -1 15
14 Malaga 11 2 8 1 -1 14
15 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -2 14
16 Cadiz 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Eldense 11 3 3 5 -3 12
18 Cordoba 11 3 3 5 -4 12
19 Ferrol 11 2 5 4 -5 11
20 La Coruna 11 2 4 5 -3 10
21 Cartagena 12 2 1 9 -10 7
22 Tenerife 11 1 3 7 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Castellon
1′
Alberto Jiménez 0–1
Cala
4′
🟨 Oscar Gil
1–1 Adrian Liso
8′
Ivan Azón Monzón 🟨
26′
40′
🟨 Alberto Jiménez
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Jetro Willems
46′
🔁 Salva Ruiz
↦ J. Willems
46′
🔁 De Miguel
↦ Óscar Gil
Enrique Clemente 🟨
53′
Francho Serrano 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
61′
61′
🔁 Israel Suero
↦ Douglas Aurélio
Alberto Marí 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
66′
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ S. Baždar
67′
Lluís López 🟨
71′
76′
Israel Suero 1–2
Iván Calero 🔁
↦ Enrique Clemente
80′
Adu Ares 🔁
↦ Adrian Liso
80′
85′
🟨 Israel Suero Fernández
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-3-1-2
13 G. Poussin G
2 Marcos Luna D
24 Lluís López D
15 Bernardo Vital D
5 Enrique Clemente D
33 Adrian Liso M
21 Toni Moya M
6 K. Bare M
23 Ager Aketxe M
11 S. Baždar F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
14 Francho Serrano
22 Alberto Marí
29 Pau Sans
19 Iván Calero
20 Adu Ares
17 Carlos Nieto
10 Sergio Bermejo
8 Marc Aguado
1 C. Álvarez
3 Jair Amador
25 Joan Femenías
12 S. Kóša

Coach: Victor Fernández

Castellon

3-4-1-2
1 G. Crettaz G
14 Óscar Gil D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
15 J. Willems D
22 D. Chirino M
23 Josep Calavera M
6 T. van den Belt M
11 Douglas Aurélio M
21 Cala F
8 K. Mamah F
10 Raúl Sánchez F
Bench (12)
17 Salva Ruiz
9 De Miguel
4 Israel Suero
13 A. Abedzadeh
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
7 Sergio Moyita
19 Dani Villahermosa
20 M. Seuntjens
30 B. Schwake
46 Peré
16 B. Cipenga
33 J. Vertrouwd

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U
3,43
B ✓
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.