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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Ponferradina
U T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Malaga
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
45%
29%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 20. · Malaga 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 18 13 7 +10 67
2 Granada 39 19 9 11 +19 66
3 Alaves 39 18 12 9 +13 66
4 Levante 39 16 17 6 +14 65
5 Las Palmas 38 16 16 6 +16 64
6 Albacete 38 15 14 9 +5 59
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Tenerife 39 13 14 12 +5 53
9 Burgos 38 13 14 11 +3 53
10 Mirandes 39 13 13 13 -1 52
11 Oviedo 38 14 10 14 -2 52
12 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
13 Zaragoza 38 11 16 11 +1 49
14 Villarreal B 39 13 10 16 -4 49
15 Leganes 39 13 10 16 -6 49
16 Huesca 39 10 18 11 +0 48
17 Sp Gijon 39 11 15 13 -2 48
18 Santander 39 12 12 15 -3 48
19 Malaga 38 9 13 16 -6 40
20 Ponferradina 38 7 15 16 -18 36
21 Ibiza 38 6 11 21 -29 29
22 Lugo 38 5 12 21 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ponferradina Malaga
Amir Abedzadeh 🟨
-5′
Hugo Vallejo 🟨
4′
Erik Morán 🟨
25′
38′
🟨 Esteban Burgos
José Naranjo 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Alejandro Calvo
↦ E. Burgos
52′
🟨 Julián Delmás
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Erik Morán
54′
K. Nwakali 🔁
↦ Adrián Diéguez
55′
62′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ Aleix Febas
Naim García 🔁
↦ Hugo Vallejo
73′
Yuri 🔁
↦ José Naranjo
73′
1–0 Yuri
Dani Ojeda
76′
78′
🔁 Loren Zúñiga
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
78′
🔁 Fran Sol
↦ Rubén Castro
79′
🟨 Francisco Villalba
S. Abdulai 🔁
↦ Agus Medina
80′
81′
🔁 A. Appiah
↦ A. NDiaye
2–0 Yuri
Dani Ojeda
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ponferradina

5-3-2
13 Miguel San Román G
21 Ale Díez D
6 S. Chakla D
5 José Amo D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
16 Moi Delgado D
8 Agus Medina M
18 Erik Morán M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
20 José Naranjo F
Bench (11)
7 Dani Ojeda
11 K. Nwakali
34 Naim García
10 Yuri
24 S. Abdulai
22 Paris Adot
28 Juan Klein
31 N. Fedotov
1 A. Abedzadeh
15 Adrián Castellano
4 A. Pașcanu

Coach: Juanfran

Malaga

4-4-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
17 Delmás D
23 Alberto Escassi D
20 E. Burgos D
5 Juande Rivas D
21 Fran Villalba M
18 A. N'Diaye M
10 Aleix Febas M
39 Cristian Gutiérrez M
24 Rubén Castro F
7 L. Junior F
Bench (11)
26 Alejandro Calvo
11 Álex Gallar
29 Loren Zúñiga
9 Fran Sol
2 A. Appiah
3 Javi Jiménez
1 Manolo Reina
4 Unai Bustinza
19 Jozabed
16 Genaro Rodríguez
22 Jonás Ramalho

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
2,97
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.