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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Barcelona

S S T S S

5–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

89%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

89%

44%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

4,1

2,1

Scored

3,1

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,86 xG 0,92

67% Possession 33%

21 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sevilla 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	0	1	+19	+11.2	24
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+14	+9.1	24
3	Ath Madrid	10	5	5	0	+10	+9.4	20
4	Villarreal	10	5	3	2	+0	+2.1	18
5	Ath Bilbao	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.8	17
6	Mallorca	10	5	2	3	+2	+3.8	17
7	Betis	10	4	3	3	+1	+5.9	15
8	Osasuna	10	4	3	3	-2	-2.2	15
9	Vallecano	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.6	13
10	Celta	10	4	1	5	+0	+2.2	13
11	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.1	12
12	Sevilla	9	3	3	3	-1	+1.3	12
13	Girona	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.2	12
14	Alaves	10	3	1	6	-5	-3.3	10
15	Espanol	10	3	1	6	-7	-10.5	10
16	Getafe	10	1	6	3	-1	+1.5	9
17	Leganes	10	1	5	4	-6	-9.6	8
18	Valladolid	10	2	2	6	-13	-5.9	8
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-8	-8.6	6
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-8	-9.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+11	+7.5	15
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+4	+2.1	13
3	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+8	+10.3	11
4	Ath Bilbao	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.0	11
5	Celta	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.4	10
6	Betis	5	3	1	1	+3	+5.9	10
7	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.5	9
8	Espanol	5	3	0	2	+1	-1.6	9
9	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.9	9
10	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.2	8
11	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	-0.5	8
12	Getafe	5	1	4	0	+2	+3.9	7
13	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
14	Alaves	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.0	7
15	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.8	5
16	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.7	5
17	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.1	5
18	Sociedad	5	1	1	3	-1	+1.1	4
19	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.6	4
20	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-2	-4.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	+5.8	15
2	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+1	+2.6	10
3	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	-0.9	9
5	Mallorca	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.6	9
6	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.8	6
9	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
10	Girona	5	1	2	2	-3	+1.0	5
11	Leganes	6	0	4	2	-4	-9.0	4
12	Sevilla	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.5	3
13	Celta	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.3	3
15	Valladolid	5	1	0	4	-12	-5.8	3
16	Getafe	5	0	2	3	-3	-2.4	2
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-6	-4.3	2
18	Espanol	5	0	1	4	-8	-8.9	1
19	Valencia	5	0	1	4	-9	-7.0	1
20	Las Palmas	4	0	0	4	-6	-4.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.