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NM-cupen

Lillestrom

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

3,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,5

3,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Sarpsborg 08 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Lillestrom	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	Viking	6	5	0	1	+17	15
4	Rosenborg	5	4	1	0	+19	13
5	Kristiansund	6	4	1	1	+10	13
6	Stabaek	5	4	1	0	+9	13
7	KFUM Oslo	5	4	0	1	+8	12
8	Fredrikstad	4	3	1	0	+11	10
9	Ham-Kam	4	3	1	0	+5	10
10	Aalesund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
11	Bryne	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Asane	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Kongsvinger	4	2	1	1	+16	7
14	Molde	4	2	1	1	+10	7
15	Egersund	4	2	1	1	+5	7
16	Sogndal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
17	Mjondalen	4	2	1	1	+4	7
18	Ranheim	3	2	1	0	+3	7
19	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+11	6
20	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+11	6
21	Alta	3	2	0	1	+10	6
22	Tromso	3	2	0	1	+10	6
23	Brann	3	2	0	1	+7	6
24	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+5	6
25	Strommen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
26	Tromsdalen Uil	3	2	0	1	+3	6
27	Moss	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Lyn	3	2	0	1	+2	6
29	Rana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Os	3	2	0	1	+0	6
31	Pors Grenland	3	2	0	1	+0	6
32	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+5	4
33	Træff	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Grorud	3	1	1	1	+1	4
35	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
36	Eidsvold	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Raufoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Jerv	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Start	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Lørenskog	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Torvastad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Nardo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Fram	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Sotra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Kjelsås	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Flint	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Sortland	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Bærum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Nordstrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Asker	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Brattvåg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Arendal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Valerenga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ull/Kisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	hodd	2	0	1	1	-2	1
68	Ørn Horten	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	IF Ready	2	0	1	1	-3	1
70	Gamle Oslo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Volda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Melbo IL	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Kvik Trondheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Våg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	NHHI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Sandnes ULF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Vard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Rollon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Ulfstind	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Askøy	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	SF Grei	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Konnerud	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Teie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Eiger	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Varegg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Hana	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Elnesvågen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
122	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
123	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-8	0
124	Rindal	1	0	0	1	-10	0
125	Hamna	1	0	0	1	-10	0
126	Bjørnevatn	1	0	0	1	-11	0
127	Nord	1	0	0	1	-11	0
128	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Stabaek	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Os	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Aalesund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Grorud	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Torvastad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Pors Grenland	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Fram	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Strommen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Alta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bryne	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-3	3
17	Flint	2	1	0	1	-4	3
18	Sogndal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bærum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nordstrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Rosenborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ranheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Mjondalen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Brattvåg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Træff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Ørn Horten	2	0	1	1	-2	1
27	IF Ready	2	0	1	1	-3	1
28	Gamle Oslo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
29	Molde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Kongsvinger	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Follo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Volda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Moss	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Melbo IL	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Kvik Trondheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Våg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	NHHI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sotra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Kjelsås	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Rollon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Ulfstind	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Askøy	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	SF Grei	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Rana	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	Tromsdalen Uil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
86	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Konnerud	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Teie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Eiger	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Varegg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
93	Hana	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Asane	1	0	0	1	-7	0
95	Elnesvågen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-8	0
98	Rindal	1	0	0	1	-10	0
99	Hamna	1	0	0	1	-10	0
100	Bjørnevatn	1	0	0	1	-11	0
101	Nord	1	0	0	1	-11	0
102	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	6	5	0	1	+17	15
2	Kristiansund	6	4	1	1	+10	13
3	Rosenborg	4	4	0	0	+19	12
4	KFUM Oslo	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	1	0	+11	10
6	Fredrikstad	4	3	1	0	+11	10
7	Ham-Kam	4	3	1	0	+5	10
8	Asane	3	3	0	0	+9	9
9	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+8	9
10	Kongsvinger	3	2	1	0	+17	7
11	Molde	3	2	1	0	+11	7
12	Egersund	3	2	1	0	+7	7
13	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+11	6
14	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+11	6
15	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+11	6
16	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+8	6
17	Brann	3	2	0	1	+7	6
18	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
19	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+5	6
20	Rana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
21	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
22	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+5	6
23	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
24	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
25	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
26	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Moss	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+5	4
29	Alta	1	1	0	0	+11	3
30	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+8	3
31	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+5	3
33	Follo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Raufoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Nardo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Lørenskog	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Flekkerøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Træff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Start	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Sortland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Grorud	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ull/Kisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Asker	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Arendal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Valerenga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	hodd	2	0	1	1	-2	1
57	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sandnes ULF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.