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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Arka Gdynia

T T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Motor Lublin

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

53%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

47%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,91 xG 0,76

40% Possession 60%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arka Gdynia 16. · Motor Lublin 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	18	9	3	6	+5	-3.6	30
2	Wisla Plock	17	7	8	2	+9	+3.2	29
3	Jagiellonia	15	8	4	3	+9	-2.2	28
4	Cracovia	17	7	5	5	+4	+2.1	26
5	Rakow	16	8	2	6	+3	+3.5	26
6	Radomiak Radom	17	7	4	6	+5	+1.5	25
7	Lech Poznan	16	6	7	3	+3	+11.1	25
8	Lechia Gdansk	18	7	4	7	+0	-0.1	25
9	Korona Kielce	17	6	5	6	+2	-0.6	23
10	Zaglebie	16	5	7	4	+5	-1.4	22
11	Widzew Lodz	17	6	2	9	-1	+3.2	20
12	Pogon Szczecin	17	6	2	9	-4	+7.2	20
13	GKS Katowice	16	6	2	8	-4	-7.2	20
14	Motor Lublin	16	4	8	4	-4	-0.2	20
15	Legia	16	4	7	5	+1	+1.3	19
16	Arka Gdynia	17	5	3	9	-18	-8.6	18
17	Nieciecza	17	4	4	9	-12	-3.8	16
18	Piast Gliwice	15	3	5	7	-3	-5.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	10	6	3	1	+9	+5.0	21
2	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
3	Gornik Zabrze	9	6	1	2	+10	+2.1	19
4	Lechia Gdansk	9	5	2	2	+9	+2.4	17
5	Arka Gdynia	8	5	2	1	+3	-5.5	17
6	Zaglebie	8	4	4	0	+12	+3.5	16
7	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
8	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	0	3	+6	+7.6	15
9	Cracovia	8	4	3	1	+5	+5.0	15
10	Widzew Lodz	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.3	14
11	Legia	8	3	4	1	+5	+0.6	13
12	Korona Kielce	8	4	1	3	+3	+1.6	13
13	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	+1	+6.6	13
14	GKS Katowice	9	4	1	4	+0	-3.5	13
15	Motor Lublin	8	2	5	1	+1	+4.2	11
16	Rakow	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.4	8
17	Piast Gliwice	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.4	6
18	Nieciecza	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	9	6	0	3	+4	+2.1	18
2	Jagiellonia	8	3	4	1	+2	-2.8	13
3	Lech Poznan	7	3	3	1	+2	+4.5	12
4	Cracovia	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.8	11
5	Nieciecza	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.9	11
6	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.8	11
7	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-1	-2.2	10
8	Motor Lublin	8	2	3	3	-5	-4.5	9
9	Wisla Plock	7	1	5	1	+0	-1.8	8
10	Piast Gliwice	8	2	2	4	-1	-4.1	8
11	Lechia Gdansk	9	2	2	5	-9	-2.5	8
12	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
13	Widzew Lodz	8	2	0	6	-4	+1.0	6
14	Legia	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
15	Zaglebie	8	1	3	4	-7	-5.0	6
16	Radomiak Radom	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.9	5
17	Pogon Szczecin	9	1	2	6	-10	-0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.