Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Preston
Wrexham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +32 | +19.3 | 43 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +5 | +3.3 | 32 |
| 3 |
Millwall
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | -3 | +3.8 | 31 |
| 4 |
Stoke
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +12 | -0.4 | 30 |
| 5 |
Preston
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +6 | -2.1 | 30 |
| 6 |
Bristol City
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +6 | +1.5 | 29 |
| 7 |
Ipswich
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +11 | +14.6 | 28 |
| 8 |
Birmingham
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +7 | +12.1 | 28 |
| 9 |
Hull
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +0 | -11.1 | 28 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +2 | +3.2 | 27 |
| 11 |
Leicester
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +1 | -3.6 | 27 |
| 12 |
Wrexham
|
18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | +3 | -4.8 | 26 |
| 13 |
Derby
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -2 | -6.4 | 26 |
| 14 |
West Brom
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -2 | +0.9 | 25 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -6 | +1.7 | 25 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +3 | +8.5 | 23 |
| 17 |
Charlton
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -5 | -8.3 | 23 |
| 18 |
Blackburn
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -5 | +4.3 | 21 |
| 19 |
Sheffield United
|
18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | -8 | +3.8 | 19 |
| 20 |
Oxford
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -5 | -5.2 | 18 |
| 21 |
Swansea
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -9 | -9.1 | 17 |
| 22 |
Portsmouth
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -10 | -6.8 | 17 |
| 23 |
Norwich
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -11 | -6.7 | 13 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Weds
|
18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -22 | -12.2 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Iversen
G
J. Storey
D
L. Lindsay
D
A. Hughes
D
P. Valentin
M
S. T. Thordarson
M
B. Whiteman
M
T. Small
M
A. Devine
F
L. Dobbin
F
Coach: Paul Heckingbottom
A. Okonkwo
G
M. Cleworth
D
D. Scarr
D
D. Hyam
D
B. Sheaf
M
G. Dobson
M
G. Thomason
M
N. Broadhead
F
K. Moore
F
Coach: Phil Parkinson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield Weds
Preston
Watford
Preston
Preston
Blackburn
Millwall
Preston
Preston
Swansea
Lewis Smith · 18 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.