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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Thun
S S S T T
4–1
Full-time
Luzern
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
27%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
73%
80%
Both score Ø 74%
67%
80%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,34 xG 2,01
43% Possession 57%
25 Shots 16
11 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
13 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thun 1. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 15 10 1 4 +10 -2.9 31
2 St. Gallen 15 9 1 5 +12 +1.1 28
3 Young Boys 15 7 5 3 +7 -0.9 26
4 Basel 15 7 3 5 +6 +12.4 24
5 Lugano 15 7 2 6 -1 +0.6 23
6 Sion 15 5 6 4 +3 +5.5 21
7 Zurich 15 6 2 7 -5 +2.7 20
8 Lausanne 15 5 4 6 +4 +5.2 19
9 Luzern 15 4 6 5 +2 -0.3 18
10 Servette 15 4 4 7 -5 +0.9 16
11 Grasshoppers 15 3 5 7 -10 -12.0 14
12 Winterthur 15 2 3 10 -23 -12.4 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -25 Luzern – Thun 1–2 5. Jul -20 Luzern – Thun 3–0 22. Feb -20 Thun – Luzern 1–1 5. Oct -19 Thun – Luzern 0–2 11. Aug -19 Luzern – Thun 0–2

Match report

Thun Luzern
1–0 B. Labeau ⚽
C. Ibayi
18′
33′
🟨 Adrian Bajrami
2–0 G. Montolio ⚽
F. Fehr
34′
3–0 J. Bamert ⚽
F. Fehr
36′
Half-time 3–0
Marco Bürki 🟨
57′
4–0 F. Meichtry ⚽
M. Burki
58′
59′
🔁 S. Ottiger
↦ A. Bajrami
59′
🔁 K. Spadanuda
↦ S. Wyss
59′
🔁 L. Villiger
↦ L. M. Silva Ferreira
N. Rupp 🔁
↦ V. Janjicic
65′
70′
🔁 O. Kabwit
↦ A. Grbic
A. Balaruban 🔁
↦ G. Montolio
71′
M. Gutbub 🔁
↦ C. Ibayi
71′
79′
🔁 L. Winkler
↦ T. Owusu
A. Ilic 🔁
↦ F. Meichtry
80′
L. Stewart 🔁
↦ B. Labeau
80′
Adam Ilic 🟨
87′
90′
⚽ L. Villiger 4–1
A. Ciganiks
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Thun

4-2-2-2
24 N. Steffen G
47 F. Fehr D
4 G. Montolio D
19 J. Bamert D
23 M. Burki D
8 V. Janjicic
78 V. Matoshi M
77 F. Meichtry M
70 N. Reichmuth M
18 C. Ibayi F
96 B. Labeau F
Bench (9)
30 J. Eicher
97 P. Zaugg
5 D. Franke
17 A. Balaruban
20 N. Rupp
52 A. Ilic
16 J. Roth
11 L. Stewart
33 M. Gutbub

Coach: Mauro Lustrinelli

Luzern

3-4-2-1
1 P. Loretz G
5 S. Knezevic D
46 B. Freimann D
4 A. Bajrami D
73 L. M. Silva Ferreira M
24 T. Owusu M
6 T. Abe M
14 A. Ciganiks M
39 S. Wyss
11 M. Di Giusto F
9 A. Grbic F
Bench (9)
90 V. Vasic
2 S. Ottiger
22 R. Dantas
45 E. Sadikaj
7 K. Spadanuda
29 L. Winkler
27 L. Villiger
10 S. Karweina
16 O. Kabwit

Coach: Mario Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.