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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Sarpsborg 08

T S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

40%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

53%

Average goals

3,7

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,9

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

17 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

8 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Lillestrom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	16	11	3	2	+17	36
2	Lillestrom	15	10	3	2	+15	33
3	Bodo/Glimt	16	9	4	3	+18	31
4	Rosenborg	16	7	7	2	+10	28
5	Viking	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Valerenga	16	7	2	7	-1	23
7	Stromsgodset	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Aalesund	16	5	6	5	-3	21
9	Sandefjord	16	6	2	8	-5	20
10	Odd	17	6	2	9	-7	20
11	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	1	8	+4	19
12	Ham-Kam	16	3	9	4	+0	18
13	Haugesund	16	4	4	8	-4	16
14	Tromso	14	3	7	4	-7	16
15	Jerv	16	3	2	11	-23	11
16	Kristiansund	15	1	2	12	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Lillestrom	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Viking	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Rosenborg	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Bodo/Glimt	8	4	4	0	+14	16
6	Stromsgodset	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Tromso	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Aalesund	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Haugesund	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	1	4	+2	10
12	Ham-Kam	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Jerv	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Odd	9	3	0	6	-5	9
15	Sandefjord	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Kristiansund	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Lillestrom	8	4	3	1	+4	15
3	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	0	3	+4	15
4	Sandefjord	9	5	0	4	+0	15
5	Rosenborg	9	2	5	2	+0	11
6	Odd	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-3	10
8	Viking	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	0	4	+2	9
10	Aalesund	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Ham-Kam	7	1	5	1	+0	8
12	Stromsgodset	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Haugesund	8	1	2	5	-4	5
14	Tromso	7	0	4	3	-9	4
15	Kristiansund	9	1	0	8	-12	3
16	Jerv	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.