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Super League
Referee: F Polychronis
Olympiakos
U S S T S
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
85%
33%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
32 Shots 2
12 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · OFI Crete 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 13 11 1 1 +21 34
2 AEK 13 10 1 2 +7 31
3 PAOK 12 9 2 1 +17 29
4 Levadeiakos 13 6 4 3 +14 22
5 Volos NFC 13 7 0 6 -2 21
6 Panathinaikos 12 5 4 3 +5 19
7 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 4 4 -2 16
8 Aris 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Kifisia 13 4 3 6 -2 15
10 Panetolikos 13 4 3 6 -3 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 13 2 6 5 -3 12
12 OFI Crete 12 4 0 8 -8 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 13 1 4 8 -12 7
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos OFI Crete
27′
🟨 Thiago Nuss
1–0 A. El Kaabi
L. Pirola
33′
2–0 A. El Kaabi
Rodinei
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Chatzitheodoridis
↦ F. Bainovic
46′
🔁 L. Shengelia
↦ T. Nuss
57′
🟨 Giannis Theodosoulakis
3–0 G. Strefezza
63′
A. Kalogeropoulos 🔁
↦ G. Biancone
66′
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
67′
Y. Yazici 🔁
↦ G. Martins
67′
71′
🔁 M. Rakonjac
↦ I. Theodosoulakis
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
74′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
75′
76′
🔁 I. Vukotic
↦ Z. Karachalios
85′
🔁 P. Kenourgiakis
↦ K. Lewis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
4 G. Biancone D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 G. Martins M
99 M. Taremi M
27 G. Strefezza M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
11 R. Yaremchuk
16 L. Scipioni
20 Costinha
14 D. Garcia
90 R. Cabella
97 Y. Yazici
39 Gustavo Mancha
22 Chiquinho
56 D. Podence

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lilo G
17 B. Gonzalez D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
2 K. Krizmanic D
34 K. Lewis D
6 Z. Karachalios M
25 F. Bainovic M
11 T. Fountas M
14 A. Androutsos M
18 T. Nuss M
46 I. Theodosoulakis F
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
31 N. Christogeorgos
5 K. Kostoulas
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
90 P. Kenourgiakis
22 G. Christopoulos
8 I. Vukotic
70 E. Faitakis
27 L. Shengelia
91 E. Chnaris
77 M. Rakonjac
71 A. Sitmalidis

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
7,95
B
16,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,35
U2,5
2,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Polychronis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.