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Ligue 2

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Dunkerque

S U U U S

1–0

Full-time

St Etienne

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

5,5

Scored

2,3

4,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+3,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

33%

60%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

60%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dunkerque 10. · St Etienne 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	9	5	2	+13	32
2	St Etienne	15	9	2	4	+11	29
3	Red Star	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Le Mans	16	7	6	3	+4	27
5	Pau FC	16	7	5	4	-1	26
6	Reims	15	7	4	4	+8	25
7	Montpellier	16	7	3	6	+2	24
8	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-4	23
9	Annecy	16	6	4	6	+4	22
10	Dunkerque	15	5	6	4	+8	21
11	Grenoble	16	5	5	6	-2	20
12	Clermont	16	4	7	5	-4	19
13	Rodez	16	4	6	6	-6	18
14	Boulogne	16	4	4	8	-7	16
15	Laval	15	3	6	6	-4	15
16	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-6	15
17	Nancy	16	4	3	9	-8	15
18	Bastia	15	1	4	10	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Le Mans	9	5	2	2	+3	17
3	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Reims	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Grenoble	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Pau FC	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+6	12
9	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Red Star	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Annecy	7	2	4	1	+4	10
12	Clermont	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Rodez	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Nancy	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Boulogne	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Amiens	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Bastia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Laval	7	0	3	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	St Etienne	8	5	1	2	+1	16
3	Pau FC	8	3	4	1	-1	13
4	Reims	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	Laval	8	3	3	2	+2	12
6	Annecy	9	4	0	5	+0	12
7	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Le Mans	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Troyes	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Montpellier	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Amiens	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Dunkerque	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Boulogne	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Nancy	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Grenoble	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Bastia	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.