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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Sarpsborg 08

U T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

5,0

Scored

2,2

3,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 0,85

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 13. · Lillestrom 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	7	4	2	1	+6	+7.7	14
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	1	0	+10	+3.0	13
3	Molde	6	4	1	1	+7	+5.0	13
4	Stromsgodset	5	3	1	1	+0	-0.8	10
5	Rosenborg	6	3	0	3	-1	-4.0	9
6	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.6	8
7	Kristiansund	5	2	2	1	+0	+0.2	8
8	Odd	6	2	2	2	-1	-6.9	8
9	Lillestrom	5	2	1	2	-3	-1.9	7
10	Viking	5	1	3	1	+0	+3.2	6
11	KFUM Oslo	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.9	6
12	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.1	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	1	3	-1	-2.1	4
14	Ham-Kam	6	0	2	4	-4	-0.5	2
15	Sandefjord	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.9	1
16	Tromso	4	0	0	4	-7	-3.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.2	9
2	Brann	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.8	9
3	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
4	Viking	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
5	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
7	Kristiansund	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
8	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
9	Odd	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.2	2
10	KFUM Oslo	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.5	2
11	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.4	1
12	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
15	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.7	0
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.5	6
3	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+1	-3.8	6
4	Odd	3	2	0	1	+0	-4.7	6
5	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.1	6
6	Brann	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.9	5
7	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+2	-1.8	4
8	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.2	4
9	KFUM Oslo	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.3	4
10	Molde	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
11	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
12	Rosenborg	3	1	0	2	-2	-4.2	3
13	Ham-Kam	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.2	2
14	Viking	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.0	1
15	Sandefjord	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
16	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.