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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Sarpsborg 08

T S T T S

1–0

Full-time

Molde

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

62%

Both score Ø 57%

66%

48%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,91 xG 3,06

22% Possession 78%

8 Shots 25

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 11

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 11

4 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 10. · Molde 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	29	21	5	3	+37	+24.7	68
2	Bodo/Glimt	29	21	4	4	+52	+44.2	67
3	Tromso	29	17	3	9	+12	+11.8	54
4	Brann	29	16	5	8	+7	+23.2	53
5	Sandefjord	29	14	3	12	+11	-4.9	45
6	Fredrikstad	29	11	9	9	+8	-3.5	42
7	Valerenga	28	12	4	12	+0	-9.1	40
8	Molde	29	12	3	14	+5	+5.0	39
9	Rosenborg	29	10	9	10	-3	+2.0	39
10	Sarpsborg 08	29	10	8	11	-3	+8.4	38
11	Ham-Kam	29	10	7	12	-3	-10.6	37
12	KFUM Oslo	29	8	11	10	+3	+11.4	35
13	Kristiansund	28	9	7	12	-20	-18.8	34
14	Bryne	29	7	7	15	-22	-11.1	28
15	Stromsgodset	29	6	2	21	-29	-25.6	20
16	Haugesund	29	2	3	24	-55	-47.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	11	2	1	+24	+16.5	35
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	11	1	2	+34	+28.1	34
3	Sandefjord	14	10	1	3	+17	+0.6	31
4	Tromso	15	10	1	4	+11	+9.5	31
5	Brann	14	9	3	2	+10	+14.6	30
6	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
7	Molde	15	8	1	6	+10	+11.7	25
8	Fredrikstad	15	7	4	4	+8	+1.6	25
9	Rosenborg	14	6	6	2	+9	+11.1	24
10	Ham-Kam	15	7	3	5	+5	-2.7	24
11	Bryne	15	6	4	5	-3	+2.1	22
12	KFUM Oslo	15	5	5	5	+4	+8.8	20
13	Kristiansund	14	5	4	5	-3	-6.2	19
14	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	4	6	-3	+3.9	16
15	Stromsgodset	15	3	1	11	-19	-9.6	10
16	Haugesund	14	1	2	11	-26	-13.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	3	2	+18	+16.1	33
2	Viking	15	10	3	2	+13	+8.2	33
3	Tromso	14	7	2	5	+1	+2.3	23
4	Brann	15	7	2	6	-3	+8.6	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	+0	+4.5	22
6	Fredrikstad	14	4	5	5	+0	-5.0	17
7	KFUM Oslo	14	3	6	5	-1	+2.6	15
8	Rosenborg	15	4	3	8	-12	-9.1	15
9	Kristiansund	14	4	3	7	-17	-12.6	15
10	Molde	14	4	2	8	-5	-6.8	14
11	Sandefjord	15	4	2	9	-6	-5.5	14
12	Ham-Kam	14	3	4	7	-8	-7.9	13
13	Valerenga	14	4	1	9	-10	-8.8	13
14	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-10	-16.0	10
15	Bryne	14	1	3	10	-19	-13.2	6
16	Haugesund	15	1	1	13	-29	-33.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.