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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

SK Rapid

T U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Ried

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,59 xG 2,58

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Ried 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	7	5	3	+12	+4.3	26
2	Sturm Graz	15	8	1	6	+5	+4.6	25
3	LASK	15	8	1	6	+2	-2.5	25
4	SK Rapid	15	7	3	5	+1	-0.4	24
5	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	-2	-1.2	23
6	Hartberg	15	6	4	5	+3	-1.0	22
7	Wolfsberger AC	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.6	21
8	Tirol	15	5	6	4	+2	+6.8	21
9	Ried	15	6	2	7	-4	-2.7	20
10	Altach	15	4	6	5	-1	-0.4	18
11	Grazer AK	15	3	6	6	-10	-1.4	15
12	BW Linz	15	3	1	11	-12	-3.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.7	16
2	Salzburg	8	4	2	2	+9	+2.5	14
3	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
4	Tirol	7	3	2	2	+4	+3.7	11
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.9	11
6	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	1	4	+1	-0.7	10
7	SK Rapid	7	3	1	3	+0	+0.4	10
8	Grazer AK	8	2	4	2	-1	+2.3	10
9	Austria Vienna	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.4	10
10	Hartberg	6	2	1	3	+0	+0.2	7
11	BW Linz	7	2	0	5	-2	-1.2	6
12	Sturm Graz	7	1	1	5	-7	+1.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.6	21
2	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
3	SK Rapid	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.8	14
4	Austria Vienna	7	4	1	2	+3	-0.8	13
5	Salzburg	7	3	3	1	+3	+1.9	12
6	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	2	2	+3	-1.9	11
7	Tirol	8	2	4	2	-2	+3.1	10
8	Ried	7	3	0	4	-2	-1.8	9
9	LASK	7	3	0	4	-2	-1.8	9
10	Altach	7	1	2	4	-3	-2.5	5
11	Grazer AK	7	1	2	4	-9	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.