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Championship
Referee: A Madley
1–0
Full-time
Derby
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,05
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 4. · Derby 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sunderland 6 5 0 1 +9 +4.1 15
2 West Brom 5 4 1 0 +7 +3.9 13
3 Blackburn 5 3 2 0 +6 -0.6 11
4 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 +5 +2.3 11
5 Burnley 5 3 1 1 +8 -0.4 10
6 Watford 6 3 1 2 +1 -2.1 10
7 Oxford 5 3 0 2 +3 -0.3 9
8 Derby 5 3 0 2 +2 -0.2 9
9 Leeds 5 2 2 1 +3 +4.8 8
10 Norwich 6 2 2 2 +1 +2.1 8
11 Middlesbrough 6 2 2 2 +1 +6.3 8
12 Swansea 5 2 1 2 +2 -2.4 7
13 QPR 6 1 4 1 -1 -0.7 7
14 Hull 6 1 3 2 -2 +0.5 6
15 Stoke 6 2 0 4 -5 -1.4 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 +0 +4.4 5
17 Coventry 5 1 2 2 -1 +2.9 5
18 Plymouth 5 1 2 2 -4 -7.3 5
19 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 -5 -0.7 5
20 Luton 5 1 1 3 -4 +1.5 4
21 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 -5 -0.8 4
22 Preston 5 1 1 3 -6 -5.4 4
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 -5 -7.5 3
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 -10 -3.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Derby
Vinícius Souza 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Eiran Joe Cashin
1–0 G. Hamer
53′
Anel Ahmedhodžić 🟨
56′
F. Seriki 🔁
↦ A. Gilchrist
66′
A. Brooks 🔁
↦ J. Rak-Sakyi
67′
67′
🔁 M. Harness
↦ B. Osborn
R. Brewster 🔁
↦ C. OHare
77′
77′
🔁 D. Brown
↦ N. Mendez-Laing
77′
🔁 N. Phillips
↦ R. Nyambe
80′
🟨 Callum Elder
82′
🔁 C. Blackett-Taylor
↦ C. Elder
82′
🔁 J. Ward
↦ K. Goudmijn
Kieffer Moore 🟨
86′
S. McCallum 🔁
↦ G. Hamer
96′
R. Norrington-Davies 🔁
↦ K. Moore
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
2 A. Gilchrist D
6 H. Souttar D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
14 H. Burrows D
21 Vinicius Souza M
42 S. Peck M
11 J. Rak-Sakyi M
10 C. O'Hare M
8 G. Hamer M
9 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
38 F. Seriki
35 A. Brooks
7 R. Brewster
33 R. Norrington-Davies
3 S. McCallum
17 A. Davies
23 T. Campbell
34 L. Marsh
16 J. Shackleton

Coach: C. Wilder

Derby

4-3-3
1 J. Widell Zetterström G
24 R. Nyambe D
35 C. Nelson D
6 E. Cashin D
20 C. Elder D
17 K. Goudmijn M
8 B. Osborn M
32 E. Adams M
19 K. Jackson F
10 J. Yates F
11 N. Mendez-Laing F
Bench (9)
18 M. Harness
39 D. Brown
12 N. Phillips
27 C. Blackett-Taylor
23 J. Ward
31 J. Vickers
3 C. Forsyth
9 J. Collins
5 S. Bradley

Coach: P. Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,26
B
5,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.