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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Pisa
U S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Brescia
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 1. · Brescia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
3 Brescia 5 3 0 2 +3 9
4 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
5 Sudtirol 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Cosenza 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Sassuolo 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Cesena 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Reggiana 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Palermo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Salernitana 5 2 0 3 -1 6
15 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Modena 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Carrarese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
19 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3
20 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Brescia
1–0 G. Piccinini
S. Moreo
2′
Oliver Abildgaard 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
M. Højholt 🔁
↦ O. Abildgaard
46′
46′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ M. Bertagnoli
48′
G. Moncini 1–1
M. Verreth
50′
🟨 Dimitri Bisoli
A. Lind 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
62′
S. Angori 🔁
↦ P. Beruatto
62′
J. Mlakar 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
69′
69′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ G. Moncini
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ G. Bonfanti
76′
2–1 M. Tramoni
G. Piccinini
78′
83′
🟨 Gennaro Borrelli
85′
🔁 P. Nuamah
↦ N. Corrado
85′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ M. Besaggio
89′
🔁 R. Fogliata
↦ A. Papetti
92′
🟨 Davide Adorni
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
94 G. Bonfanti D
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
28 O. Abildgaard M
20 P. Beruatto M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
9 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
8 M. Højholt
45 A. Lind
3 S. Angori
7 J. Mlakar
33 A. Calabresi
74 Ž. Jevšenak
30 A. Arena
17 A. Rus
22 L. Loria
70 M. Leoncini
1 Nícolas
15 I. Touré

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Brescia

3-5-1-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
24 L. Dickmann M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
19 N. Corrado M
39 M. Besaggio F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (10)
29 G. Borrelli
9 F. Bianchi
20 P. Nuamah
8 B. Bjarnason
21 R. Fogliata
33 Z. Muça
5 G. Calvani
4 F. Paghera
16 T. Buhagiar
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,21
B
4,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.