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Taça de Portugal
Academica
U S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Torreense
T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academica Torreense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anadia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Maria da Fonte 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Penafiel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Arronches e Benfica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Machico 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Cinfães 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Academica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Estrela Vendas Novas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Tirsense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Operário 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Ferreira Zêzere 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 CF Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Lusitânia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Aliança de Gandra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Régua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Moura 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Vieira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Vianense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Leça 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 AD Marco 09 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 União de Coimbra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Ovarense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Vila Real 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Joane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Estarreja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Dumiense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Cardielense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Oliveirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Maia Lidador 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 União Lamas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Velense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Lajense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Portel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Sacavenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Abrantes e Benfica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Pedras Salgadas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Tocha 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Vieirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Juventude Gaula 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 O Grandolense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Macedo Cavaleiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Lagos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Resende 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Oliveira de Frades 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Ginásio Figueirense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Praia Milfontes 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.