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Taça de Portugal

Pevidem

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Maritimo

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pevidem Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 64%

60%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 62%

40%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anadia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
39	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.