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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Basel

T S S S U

0–2

Full-time

Zurich

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

6 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 5. · Zurich 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	7	4	2	1	+5	+0.5	14
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+4	+0.4	13
3	Servette	7	4	1	2	-3	-2.9	13
4	Zurich	5	3	2	0	+6	+0.4	11
5	Basel	6	3	1	2	+9	+3.9	10
6	St. Gallen	6	3	1	2	+4	-0.1	10
7	Sion	6	3	1	2	+4	+2.9	10
8	Grasshoppers	7	1	2	4	-4	+2.5	5
9	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
10	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-7	+1.5	4
11	Winterthur	6	1	1	4	-7	-4.7	4
12	Young Boys	6	0	3	3	-7	-3.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	3	2	1	0	+6	+4.4	7
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.9	7
3	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.9	7
4	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.0	6
5	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
6	Servette	3	2	0	1	-3	-2.0	6
7	Grasshoppers	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.2	5
8	Winterthur	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
9	Yverdon	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.9	4
10	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.3	3
11	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.5	3
12	Young Boys	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.9	8
2	Basel	4	2	1	1	+8	+1.6	7
3	Servette	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
4	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.5	6
5	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
7	Sion	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.5	3
8	Yverdon	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.5	1
9	Young Boys	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.2	1
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-6	-0.0	1
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0
12	Winterthur	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.