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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

LASK

U T T T T

4–2

Full-time

Grazer AK

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 11. · Grazer AK 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	SK Rapid	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	1	2	+5	10
4	BW Linz	6	3	1	2	-1	10
5	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Austria Vienna	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Altach	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Grazer AK	6	0	4	2	-3	4
10	Tirol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	LASK	6	1	0	5	-7	3
12	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	BW Linz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Austria Vienna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Altach	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	A. Klagenfurt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Hartberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	LASK	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	+0	3
5	LASK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
6	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Tirol	3	1	0	2	-3	3
8	Austria Vienna	3	0	2	1	-1	2
9	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-2	2
10	SK Rapid	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-6	1
12	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.