OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Mjondalen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +38 | 51 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 42 |
| 3 |
Moss
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +5 | 36 |
| 4 |
Egersund
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |
Stabaek
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +2 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lyn
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +14 | 32 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 32 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sogndal
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 30 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 27 |
| 11 |
Levanger
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | +2 | 25 |
| 12 |
Aalesund
|
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 |
Mjondalen
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Start
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 21 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | -35 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valerenga
Asane
Asane
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
Asane
Asane
Aalesund
Asane
Bryne
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.