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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Stromsgodset

U S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

45%

68%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,58 xG 2,30

32% Possession 68%

16 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Sarpsborg 08 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	5	2	+35	+15.7	50
2	Molde	22	12	4	6	+24	+14.9	40
3	Viking	22	11	7	4	+13	+11.3	40
4	Brann	22	11	7	4	+10	+11.2	40
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	+1	+1.6	34
6	Fredrikstad	22	9	7	6	+1	+1.9	34
7	KFUM Oslo	22	7	8	7	-1	+5.6	29
8	Sarpsborg 08	22	7	5	10	-13	-5.9	26
9	Ham-Kam	22	6	7	9	-4	-2.7	25
10	Kristiansund	21	6	7	8	-5	-9.1	25
11	Tromso	22	7	4	11	-6	-10.9	25
12	Stromsgodset	22	6	6	10	-10	-6.9	24
13	Haugesund	22	6	5	11	-9	-4.4	23
14	Sandefjord	21	5	7	9	-4	-1.3	22
15	Lillestrom	22	6	3	13	-16	-6.3	21
16	Odd	22	5	6	11	-16	-14.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	3	0	+23	+10.0	27
2	Viking	12	8	3	1	+11	+7.7	27
3	Rosenborg	11	8	1	2	+8	+5.1	25
4	Molde	11	6	2	3	+14	+11.3	20
5	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+10.4	20
6	Sandefjord	11	5	2	4	+2	+1.2	17
7	Fredrikstad	11	4	5	2	+1	+5.1	17
8	Kristiansund	10	4	4	2	+0	+2.6	16
9	Haugesund	11	4	1	6	-4	+1.5	13
10	Odd	12	3	4	5	-6	-4.9	13
11	Stromsgodset	10	3	3	4	+0	+4.7	12
12	Tromso	11	3	2	6	-2	-1.1	11
13	KFUM Oslo	11	2	5	4	-4	+7.8	11
14	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	2	6	-9	-0.2	11
15	Ham-Kam	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.4	10
16	Lillestrom	11	2	3	6	-10	-2.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	2	2	+12	+5.6	23
2	Molde	11	6	2	3	+10	+3.6	20
3	Brann	11	5	5	1	+6	+0.8	20
4	KFUM Oslo	11	5	3	3	+3	-2.2	18
5	Fredrikstad	11	5	2	4	+0	-3.3	17
6	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-2	-1.3	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	3	4	-4	-5.8	15
8	Tromso	11	4	2	5	-4	-9.8	14
9	Viking	10	3	4	3	+2	+3.6	13
10	Lillestrom	11	4	0	7	-6	-3.5	12
11	Stromsgodset	12	3	3	6	-10	-11.5	12
12	Haugesund	11	2	4	5	-5	-5.9	10
13	Kristiansund	11	2	3	6	-5	-11.7	9
14	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-7	-3.4	9
15	Odd	10	2	2	6	-10	-9.6	8
16	Sandefjord	10	0	5	5	-6	-2.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.