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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Modena
T S U T U
3–0
Full-time
Juve Stabia
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 16. · Juve Stabia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Sassuolo 6 3 2 1 +1 11
3 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
4 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
5 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
6 Sudtirol 6 3 0 3 +0 9
7 Cesena 6 2 2 2 +1 8
8 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Reggiana 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Palermo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Salernitana 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Modena 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -2 5
19 Carrarese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
20 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Juve Stabia
1–0 A. Palumbo
25′
Antonio Palumbo 🟨
27′
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ T. Battistella
37′
40′
🟨 Davide Buglio
2–0 S. Santoro
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Marco Bellich
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
46′
A. Dellavalle 🔁
↦ A. Di Pardo
46′
46′
🔁 K. Piscopo
↦ G. Leone
46′
🔁 L. Candellone
↦ M. Ruggero
3–0 F. Abiuso
A. Palumbo
47′
Simone Santoro ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
48′
Antonio Pergreffi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
57′
77′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ A. Adorante
78′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ N. Mosti
G. Beyuku 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
81′
Luca Magnino 🟨
83′
E. Duca 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
84′
86′
🔁 F. Zuccon
↦ F. Maistro
Riyad Idrissi 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
18 A. Di Pardo D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
27 R. Idrissi D
5 T. Battistella M
8 S. Santoro M
21 K. Bozhanaj M
10 A. Palumbo M
11 Pedro Mendes M
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (10)
6 L. Magnino
92 G. Defrel
25 A. Dellavalle
2 G. Beyuku
7 E. Duca
9 E. Gliozzi
33 C. Cauz
29 M. Cotali
78 F. Bagheria
1 J. Sassi

Coach: P. Bisoli

Juve Stabia

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
23 F. Folino D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
55 G. Leone M
3 Y. Rocchetti M
98 N. Mosti F
37 F. Maistro F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
11 K. Piscopo
27 L. Candellone
90 G. Artistico
14 M. Meli
7 F. Zuccon
10 C. Pierobon
29 N. Fortini
13 M. Baldi
24 M. Varnier
99 E. Piovanello
1 K. Matošević
25 A. Gerbo

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,02
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.