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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Reggiana
U S S T T
0–0
Full-time
Salernitana
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
7 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 11. · Salernitana 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
3 Brescia 5 3 0 2 +3 9
4 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
5 Sudtirol 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Cosenza 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Sassuolo 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Cesena 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Reggiana 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Palermo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Salernitana 5 2 0 3 -1 6
15 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Modena 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Carrarese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
19 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3
20 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Salernitana
29′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
33′
🟨 Petar Stojanović
Tobías Reinhart 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
46′
57′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ S. Włodarczyk
57′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ A. Hrustić
58′
🟨 Lorenzo Amatucci
L. Ignacchiti 🔁
↦ A. Sersanti
63′
66′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ L. Amatucci
73′
🔁 A. Tello
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
73′
🔁 N. Dalmonte
↦ J. Braaf
N. Girma 🔁
↦ M. Maggio
75′
L. Cigarini 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
76′
80′
🟨 Andrés Tello
M. Marras 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
24 A. Fontanarosa D
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
90 M. Portanova M
30 A. Vergara M
27 M. Maggio M
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
18 O. Okwonkwo
25 L. Ignacchiti
80 N. Girma
8 L. Cigarini
7 M. Marras
10 L. Vido
39 G. Cavallini
87 Y. Nahounou
6 L. Štulac
17 L. Libutti
1 E. Motta
29 O. Urso

Coach: W. Viali

Salernitana

4-3-3
55 L. Sepe G
30 P. Stojanović D
15 D. Bronn D
33 G. Ferrari D
17 L. Njoh D
25 G. Maggiore M
73 L. Amatucci M
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
8 A. Hrustić F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
24 J. Braaf F
Bench (12)
10 E. Torregrossa
31 D. Verde
21 R. Soriano
70 A. Tello
23 N. Dalmonte
13 F. Ruggeri
1 V. Fiorillo
12 F. Corriere
9 S. Nwankwo
29 P. Ghiglione
4 T. Velthuis
44 P. Jaroszyński

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U ✓
3,04
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.