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Championship
Referee: A Kitchen
West Brom
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Plymouth
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Plymouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,33 xG 0,78
49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 2. · Plymouth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sunderland 6 5 0 1 +9 +4.1 15
2 West Brom 5 4 1 0 +7 +3.9 13
3 Blackburn 5 3 2 0 +6 -0.6 11
4 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 +5 +2.3 11
5 Burnley 5 3 1 1 +8 -0.4 10
6 Watford 6 3 1 2 +1 -2.1 10
7 Oxford 5 3 0 2 +3 -0.3 9
8 Derby 5 3 0 2 +2 -0.2 9
9 Leeds 5 2 2 1 +3 +4.8 8
10 Norwich 6 2 2 2 +1 +2.1 8
11 Middlesbrough 6 2 2 2 +1 +6.3 8
12 Swansea 5 2 1 2 +2 -2.4 7
13 QPR 6 1 4 1 -1 -0.7 7
14 Hull 6 1 3 2 -2 +0.5 6
15 Stoke 6 2 0 4 -5 -1.4 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 +0 +4.4 5
17 Coventry 5 1 2 2 -1 +2.9 5
18 Plymouth 5 1 2 2 -4 -7.3 5
19 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 -5 -0.7 5
20 Luton 5 1 1 3 -4 +1.5 4
21 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 -5 -0.8 4
22 Preston 5 1 1 3 -6 -5.4 4
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 -5 -7.5 3
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 -10 -3.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Plymouth
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Joe Edwards
Alex Mowatt 🟨
56′
1–0 J. Maja
U. Račić
62′
G. Diangana 🔁
↦ J. Swift
63′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
63′
67′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ A. Forshaw
68′
🟨 Kornél Szűcs
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ T. Fellows
71′
O. Diakité 🔁
↦ U. Račić
71′
Jed Wallace 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 C. Wright
↦ I. Cissoko
77′
🔁 M. Bundu
↦ R. Hardie
77′
🔁 M. Obafemi
↦ D. Gyabi
L. Dobbin 🔁
↦ J. Maja
78′
Torbjørn Heggem 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
5 K. Bartley D
14 T. Heggem D
20 U. Račić M
27 A. Mowatt M
31 T. Fellows M
10 J. Swift M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
11 G. Diangana
22 M. Johnston
7 J. Wallace
17 O. Diakité
19 L. Dobbin
30 T. Cann
3 M. Holgate
4 C. Styles
24 G. Frabotta

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Plymouth

4-1-4-1
31 D. Grimshaw G
8 J. Edwards D
6 K. Szűcs D
17 L. Gibson D
2 B. Mumba D
20 A. Randell M
10 M. Whittaker M
18 D. Gyabi M
27 A. Forshaw M
7 I. Cissoko M
9 R. Hardie F
Bench (9)
28 R. Al Hajj
11 C. Wright
15 M. Bundu
14 M. Obafemi
44 V. Pálsson
3 N. Ogbeta
25 M. Maroši
22 B. Galloway
4 J. Houghton

Coach: W. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,95
B
7,56
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kitchen · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.