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2. Bundesliga

Referee: Tom Bauer

Hannover

U T T S S

2–2

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T S U S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hannover 13. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nurnberg	3	3	0	0	+8	-1.2	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.4	9
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.2	7
4	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.6	6
5	Magdeburg	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.7	6
6	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
7	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.3	4
8	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.5	4
9	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	+2	+1.5	3
10	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-1	+3.0	3
11	Bochum	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
12	Cottbus	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.7	3
13	Hannover	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.7	3
14	Osnabruck	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.3	3
15	Dresden	3	1	0	2	-4	-1.7	3
16	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
17	Holstein Kiel	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.5	2
18	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nurnberg	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.0	6
2	Heidenheim	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.4	6
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
5	Cottbus	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
6	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
8	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.5	3
9	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
13	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
14	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
16	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0
18	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.9	6
2	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.6	6
3	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
4	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Braunschweig	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.2	3
6	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
7	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
8	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.5	3
10	Hannover	2	1	0	1	-1	+3.1	3
11	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
13	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.9	1
14	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
16	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.0	0
17	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.0	0
18	Dresden	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Apr -26 Karlsruhe – Hannover 1–3 28. Nov -25 Hannover – Karlsruhe 3–0 4. Apr -25 Karlsruhe – Hannover 1–0 2. Nov -24 Hannover – Karlsruhe 2–1 12. May -24 Karlsruhe – Hannover 1–2

Match report

Hannover Karlsruhe

Stefán Teitur Thórdarson 🟨

5′

Husseyn Chakroun 🔁

↦ Mustapha Bundu

14′

1–0 Lars Gindorf ⚽

26′

28′

⚽ Shio Fukuda 1–1

34′

🟨 Noel Eichinger

2–1 Marcel Hartel ⚽

Kolja Oudenne

38′

Half-time 2–1

Bastian Allgeier 🟨

46′

Waniss Taibi 🟨

49′

Franz Roggow 🔁

↦ Stefán Teitur Thórdarson

61′

Benedikt Pichler 🔁

↦ Marcel Hartel

61′

64′

🟨 Christoph Kobald

64′

🔁 Lilian Egloff

↦ Noel Eichinger

Boris Tomiak 🟨

65′

75′

🔁 Jason Ponente-Ramirez

↦ Louey Ben Farhat

76′

🔁 Viktor Bergh

↦ Deniz Ofli

76′

🔁 Tim Civeja

↦ Kevin Wiethaup

Benjamin Källman 🔁

↦ Waniss Taibi

76′

Ime Okon 🔁

↦ Virgil Ghiță

76′

85′

⚽ Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 2–2

Lilian Egloff

87′

🔁 paul scholl

↦ Rafael Pinto Pedrosa

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-3

B. Allgeier D

M. Bundu F

V. Ghiță D

L. Gindorf F

M. Hartel F

M. Neubauer M

K. Oudenne M

W. Taïbi M

S. Þórðarson M

B. Tomiak D

L. Weinkauf G

Bench (9)

13 F. Roggow

11 B. Pichler

20 I. Okon

27 H. Matsuda

1 P. Loretz

9 B. Källman

14 H. Chakroun

44 E. Sahiti

24 Yunus Ünal

Coach: C. Titz

Karlsruhe

Coach: M. Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

1,51

🔒

Superbet 1,64 10Bet 1,62 Betano 1,60 1xBet 1,58 Dafabet 1,55 Pinnacle 1,55 BetVictor 1,55 William Hill 1,55 SBO 1,54 Unibet 1,53 Marathonbet 1,51 Bet365 1,50 Betfair 1,50

U ✓

4,46

🔒

Betano 4,75 Dafabet 4,70 Pinnacle 4,54 Bet365 4,50 Betfair 4,50 BetVictor 4,50 Unibet 4,40 William Hill 4,40 Marathonbet 4,35 Superbet 4,30 1xBet 4,20 10Bet 4,10 SBO 3,87

5,13

🔒

Pinnacle 5,88 Marathonbet 5,55 Betano 5,40 Unibet 5,40 Bet365 5,25 Dafabet 5,20 1xBet 5,11 Betfair 5,00 10Bet 4,80 BetVictor 4,80 Superbet 4,75 William Hill 4,60 SBO 4,16

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,10

🔒