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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Lech Poznan

T T T S S

4–1

Full-time

Nieciecza

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 32%

44%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

48%

Both score Ø 68%

68%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,58 xG 1,23

67% Possession 33%

26 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Nieciecza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	+10	-4.3	41
2	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	+9	-1.1	41
3	Lech Poznan	25	11	8	6	+6	+17.8	41
4	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	+3	+4.0	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	+3	-1.1	39
6	Gornik Zabrze	25	11	5	9	+4	-4.4	38
7	Rakow	25	11	4	10	+2	+7.7	37
8	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	-3	-5.6	37
9	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	+4	-3.2	36
10	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	+3	+3.1	36
11	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	+0	-7.0	36
12	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	-1	-3.6	35
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	-4	+8.4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	+2	-1.2	33
15	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	-19	-8.6	30
16	Legia	25	6	11	8	-1	+0.2	29
17	Widzew Lodz	25	8	4	13	-3	+4.9	28
18	Nieciecza	25	5	7	13	-15	-5.9	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	13	8	2	3	+9	+10.4	26
2	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
3	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	1	4	+11	+1.9	25
4	Radomiak Radom	13	7	3	3	+14	+7.6	24
5	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
6	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
7	Zaglebie	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.6	23
8	Jagiellonia	13	7	2	4	+9	+3.7	23
9	GKS Katowice	13	7	2	4	+5	-1.4	23
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	7	2	+4	+2.0	22
11	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.0	20
12	Cracovia	13	5	5	3	+4	+5.9	20
13	Legia	12	5	4	3	+5	+1.5	19
14	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+3	+10.8	19
15	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.9	18
16	Rakow	12	5	3	4	+2	+4.4	18
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.0	22
2	Rakow	13	6	1	6	+0	+3.3	19
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	13	5	3	5	-2	-5.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.8	17
6	Korona Kielce	13	4	4	5	-1	-6.2	16
7	Cracovia	13	4	4	5	-1	-2.8	16
8	Wisla Plock	13	3	6	4	-2	-3.0	15
9	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-7	-7.7	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
11	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
12	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	4	5	-7	-6.4	13
13	Nieciecza	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
14	Widzew Lodz	13	3	1	9	-5	+2.0	10
15	Legia	13	1	7	5	-6	-1.3	10
16	Radomiak Radom	13	1	6	6	-12	-8.8	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	13	1	1	11	-24	-5.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.