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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
1–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
11%
52%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,46 xG 2,52
36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 15. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PAOK 27 18 7 2 +38 +8.8 61
2 Olympiakos 27 18 7 2 +35 +9.6 61
3 AEK 27 18 7 2 +30 +8.3 61
4 Panathinaikos 27 14 8 5 +19 +6.8 50
5 Levadeiakos 27 11 8 8 +13 -7.7 41
6 OFI Crete 27 11 2 14 -8 -7.8 35
7 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -4 -1.6 30
8 Aris Thessalonikis 25 6 12 7 -5 -2.8 30
9 Aris 26 6 12 8 -7 – 30
10 Panetolikos 28 8 5 15 -13 -2.8 29
11 Volos NFC 27 8 5 14 -15 +1.7 29
12 Kifisia 27 6 10 11 -8 -0.8 28
13 Larisa 27 5 10 12 -17 -2.9 25
14 Panserraikos 28 4 7 17 -39 -5.3 19
15 Asteras Tripolis 27 3 9 15 -19 -3.6 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe 🟨
6′
24′
🟨 Santino Andino
31′
⚽ A. Zaroury 0–1
45′
⚽ A. Tetteh 0–2
Half-time 0–2
47′
ℹ️ Georgios Kyriakopoulos
VAR: Penalty confirmed
57′
ℹ️ Andreas Tetteh
VAR: Goal cancelled
F. Macheda 🔁
↦ O. M. Chidera
61′
E. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ Munoz Mumo
61′
65′
🔁 P. Pantelidis
↦ G. Kotsiras
S. Mitrovic 🔁
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
70′
71′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ A. Tetteh
71′
🔁 A. Jagusic
↦ S. Andino
0–3 S. I. Ingason ⚽
own goal
82′
D. Grammenos 🔁
↦ C. Almyras
83′
K. Pomonis 🔁
↦ I. Sylla
83′
84′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ M. Siopis
84′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ S. I. Ingason
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

3-4-2-1
61 V. Chatziemmanouil G
74 D. Laskaris D
3 N. Sipcic D
69 O. Alagbe
64 P. Deligiannidis M
22 Munoz Mumo M
68 C. Almyras M
4 I. Sylla M
11 D. Emmanouilidis F
40 K. Ketu
26 O. M. Chidera F
Bench (12)
1 N. Papadopoulos
41 F. Macheda
17 N. Alho
30 D. Grozdanic
99 D. Grammenos
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos
8 T. Tzandaris
5 E. Yablonskiy
10 E. Gonzalez
96 A. Simoni
75 S. Mitrovic
29 K. Pomonis

Coach: Georgios Antonopoulos

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
40 A. Lafont G
15 S. I. Ingason D
26 J. Hernandez D
5 A. Touba D
27 G. Kotsiras M
4 P. Chirivella M
6 M. Siopis M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
9 A. Zaroury F
10 S. Andino F
7 A. Tetteh
Bench (12)
12 L. Chaves
70 K. Kotsaris
31 F. Djuricic
11 A. Bakasetas
2 D. Calabria
8 R. Sanches
19 K. Swiderski
72 M. Pantovic
20 V. Taborda
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
88 A. Jagusic
23 P. Pantelidis

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,67
U
3,23
B ✓
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.