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Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
S S T S U
5–0
Full-time
Nieciecza
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Nieciecza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 38%
60%
16%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
74%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Nieciecza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 20 12 6 2 +24 42
2 Rakow 21 12 5 4 +17 41
3 Pogon Szczecin 20 11 7 2 +21 40
4 Radomiak Radom 21 9 9 3 +11 36
5 Lechia Gdansk 21 10 6 5 +10 36
6 Gornik Zabrze 20 9 4 7 +2 31
7 Stal Mielec 21 8 7 6 +0 31
8 Wisla Plock 20 9 3 8 +3 30
9 Cracovia 21 8 6 7 +1 30
10 Slask Wroclaw 21 6 7 8 -2 25
11 Jagiellonia 20 6 6 8 -8 24
12 Piast Gliwice 20 6 5 9 -2 23
13 Wisla 21 6 3 12 -12 21
14 Leczna 21 4 8 9 -17 20
15 Zaglebie 20 6 2 12 -18 20
16 Legia 19 6 0 13 -9 18
17 Warta Poznan 20 3 8 9 -10 17
18 Nieciecza 19 3 6 10 -11 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.