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NM-cupen

Referee: D Higraff

Bodo/Glimt

S S S S T

4–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

83%

100%

Points per game

2,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 2/4 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

100%

75%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,5

2,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 17. · Lillestrom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Tromsdalen Uil	4	3	0	1	+15	9
4	Brann	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Bjarg	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	KFUM Oslo	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Egersund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Kjelsås	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Kongsvinger	3	2	0	1	+6	6
10	Levanger	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Sandnes ULF	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Lysekloster	3	2	0	1	+4	6
13	Viking	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Stabaek	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Lyn	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Bryne	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Eik-Tønsberg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Strommen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Brattvåg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
24	Odd	3	1	1	1	+0	4
25	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
39	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Stromsgodset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	1
44	Molde	2	0	1	1	-1	1
45	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
46	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
80	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bjarg	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Kjelsås	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Lysekloster	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Tromsdalen Uil	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Eik-Tønsberg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Egersund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Stromsgodset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Brattvåg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Molde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Sandnes ULF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Odd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kongsvinger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
53	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Brann	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Viking	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Stabaek	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Lyn	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Bryne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Molde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.