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LaLiga2
Referee: L Bestard Servera
Las Palmas
U U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 7. · Sp Gijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 31 18 5 8 +18 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
3 La Coruna 31 16 7 8 +13 +2.4 55
4 Malaga 31 16 6 9 +15 +4.1 54
5 Burgos 31 14 8 9 +10 +3.7 50
6 Castellon 30 14 7 9 +12 +3.7 49
7 Las Palmas 30 12 12 6 +15 +2.8 48
8 Sp Gijon 30 13 6 11 +4 +1.1 45
9 Eibar 31 12 9 10 +3 +4.9 45
10 Ceuta 31 13 5 13 -11 -9.9 44
11 Albacete 31 11 9 11 -1 +1.8 42
12 Cordoba 31 11 8 12 -6 +2.5 41
13 Sociedad B 31 11 7 13 +1 -5.4 40
14 Granada 31 9 12 10 +3 -0.0 39
15 Andorra 31 10 9 12 -5 +2.8 39
16 Cadiz 31 10 8 13 -8 -6.1 38
17 Leganes 31 9 10 12 +2 +5.3 37
18 Valladolid 31 9 9 13 -9 +2.5 36
19 Huesca 31 8 7 16 -15 +0.1 31
20 Zaragoza 31 7 9 15 -16 -1.9 30
21 Mirandes 31 7 6 18 -20 -4.3 27
22 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Sp Gijon
1–0 A. Garcia
T. Miyashiro
12′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Campos
↦ K. Vazquez
67′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ B. Olivan
67′
🔁 J. Smith
↦ M. Rodriguez
E. Loiodice 🔁
↦ K. Rodriguez
76′
C. Gutierrez 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
76′
83′
🔁 D. Queipo
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
I. Bravo 🔁
↦ Jese
88′
I. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
88′
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
89′
J. Herzog 🔁
↦ Sergio Barcia
92′
92′
🔁 A. Oyon
↦ D. Sanchez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
20 K. Rodriguez M
16 L. Amatucci M
18 T. Miyashiro M
14 M. Fuster M
22 A. Garcia M
10 Jese F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
13 J. Caro
21 J. Viera
12 E. Loiodice
23 C. Gutierrez
49 I. Bravo
26 I. Gonzalez
7 N. Benedetti
4 Alex Suarez
24 Pejino
39 E. Pedrola
15 J. Herzog

Coach: Luis Garcia

Sp Gijon

5-3-2
13 C. Joel G
2 G. Rosas D
20 K. Vazquez D
15 P. Vazquez D
5 D. Sanchez D
12 B. Olivan D
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
36 M. Rodriguez M
14 A. Corredera M
17 J. Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
Bench (11)
30 I. Venteo
39 M. Ordonez
4 L. Perrin
3 P. Garcia
18 A. Coundoul
23 E. Curbelo
8 J. Bernal
7 G. Campos
24 J. Smith
27 A. Oyon
11 D. Queipo

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,30
B
4,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Bestard Servera · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.