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Conference League
Referee: S van der Eijk
Shakhtar Donetsk
S S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 62%
67%
56%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,43 xG 2,22
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Lech Poznan – Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Lech Poznan
13′
⚽ M. Ishak 0–1
T. Ismaheel
45′
⚽ M. Ishak 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 J. Pereira
↦ R. Gumny
Alaa Ghram 🟨
49′
50′
ℹ️ Luis Palma
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Isaque Silva 🔁
↦ Y. Nazaryna
62′
0–3 J. Moutinho ⚽
own goal
67′
68′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ T. Ismaheel
68′
🔁 L. Bengtsson
↦ L. Palma
77′
🔁 P. Walemark
↦ P. Rodriguez
L. Traore 🔁
↦ Kaua Elias
80′
Lucas Ferreira 🔁
↦ Alisson
80′
83′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ G. Thordarson
Eguinaldo 🔁
↦ Newerton
85′
Alaa Ghram 🟨
97′
Alaa Ghram 🟥
97′
97′
🟨 Mikael Ishak
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 V. Tobias D
18 A. Ghram D
4 Marlon D
13 P. Henrique D
29 Y. Nazaryna M
30 Alisson M
10 Pedrinho M
27 O. Ocheretko M
11 Newerton M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
48 D. Tvardovskyi
23 K. Fesyun
2 L. Traore
68 P. Obah
49 Luca Meirelles
14 Isaque Silva
9 M. Shved
26 Y. Konoplya
21 A. Bondarenko
16 I. Azarovi
7 Eguinaldo
37 Lucas Ferreira

Coach: Arda Turan

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
20 R. Gumny D
27 W. Monka D
16 A. Milic D
4 J. Moutinho D
43 A. Kozubal M
23 G. Thordarson M
88 T. Ismaheel M
99 P. Rodriguez M
77 L. Palma M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
1 P. Andreev
33 M. Pruchniewski
8 A. Gholizadeh
14 L. Bengtsson
10 P. Walemark
7 Y. Agnero
53 S. Dudek
2 J. Pereira
72 M. Skrzypczak
6 T. Ouma
15 M. Gurgul

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.