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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Hartberg

U S U U U

0–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

0,8

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

35%

48%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

65%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,06 xG 1,63

40% Possession 60%

2 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Austria Vienna 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	24	13	3	8	+10	+7.0	42
2	Salzburg	24	10	8	6	+15	+9.3	38
3	LASK	23	11	5	7	+2	+6.4	38
4	SK Rapid	23	10	6	7	+2	-3.0	36
5	Austria Vienna	23	11	3	9	+1	+1.5	36
6	Hartberg	23	8	10	5	+5	-5.2	34
7	Altach	24	8	9	7	+1	-4.8	33
8	Tirol	24	8	7	9	-4	+1.9	31
9	Ried	24	9	4	11	-4	-4.9	31
10	Wolfsberger AC	24	7	6	11	-3	-9.7	27
11	Grazer AK	24	6	8	10	-8	+1.2	26
12	BW Linz	24	5	3	16	-17	+0.4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	12	6	5	1	+6	-0.2	23
2	LASK	12	7	2	3	+3	+4.3	23
3	Salzburg	12	5	3	4	+7	+5.2	18
4	Tirol	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.3	18
5	Ried	12	5	3	4	+0	-0.4	18
6	SK Rapid	11	5	2	4	+2	-1.6	17
7	Grazer AK	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.3	17
8	Sturm Graz	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.9	17
9	Austria Vienna	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.8	17
10	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	4	4	+2	-2.6	16
11	Hartberg	11	4	4	3	+2	+0.7	16
12	BW Linz	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	8	1	3	+12	+5.1	25
2	Salzburg	12	5	5	2	+8	+4.2	20
3	Austria Vienna	11	6	1	4	+5	+0.7	19
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+0	-1.4	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
6	LASK	11	4	3	4	-1	+2.0	15
7	Ried	12	4	1	7	-4	-4.5	13
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	2	7	-5	-7.1	11
10	Altach	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.6	10
11	Grazer AK	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.1	9
12	BW Linz	12	1	2	9	-14	-1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.