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Pro League
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Anderlecht
T S U S S
2–3
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches
Win Ø 32%
37%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
37%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
61%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,82 xG 1,60
71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Cercle Brugge 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 1 3 +20 +9.0 49
2 St. Gilloise 20 13 7 0 +26 +19.5 46
3 St Truiden 20 13 2 5 +12 +15.7 41
4 Mechelen 20 10 7 3 +11 -4.3 37
5 Gent 18 10 2 6 +6 +1.8 32
6 Genk 18 8 4 6 +4 +4.0 28
7 Anderlecht 19 7 6 6 +4 +4.5 27
8 Antwerp 20 7 5 8 +2 -2.8 26
9 Cercle Brugge 23 6 6 11 -6 -1.6 24
10 Standard 20 6 5 9 -13 -9.8 23
11 Westerlo 20 5 7 8 -7 +0.2 22
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 5 6 9 -9 -4.8 21
13 RAAL La Louviere 23 4 9 10 -9 -8.6 21
14 Waregem 23 6 3 14 -11 -7.3 21
15 Charleroi 19 5 4 10 -5 -3.4 19
16 Dender 23 2 6 15 -25 -12.0 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Cercle Brugge
10′
E. Diop 0–1
1–1 M. Cvetkovic
T. Hazard
25′
28′
P. Gerkens 1–2
E. Kakou
35′
E. Kakou 1–3
G. Magnee
Half-time 1–3
I. Kanate 🔁
↦ A. Tajaouart
46′
53′
🟨 Flávio Nazinho
57′
🔁 L. Agyekum
↦ D. Vanzeir
57′
🔁 S. Ngoura
↦ O. Diakite
Mihajlo Ilić 🟨
73′
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
77′
M. Rits 🔁
↦ M. Ilic
77′
80′
🟨 Edan Diop
85′
🔁 I. Diaby
↦ H. van der Bruggen
A. Maamar 🔁
↦ T. Degreef
89′
90′
🔁 I. Diakite
↦ K. Valy
2–3 T. Hazard
A. Maamar
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
15 M. Ilic D
93 M. Diarra D
6 L. Augustinsson D
78 A. Tajaouart M
74 N. De Cat M
83 T. Degreef M
29 M. Stroeykens M
9 M. Cvetkovic
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (9)
32 J. Heekeren
10 Y. Verschaeren
79 A. Maamar
4 M. Angely
77 C. da Costa
23 M. Rits
55 M. Kana
3 L. Hey
99 I. Kanate

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 Warleson G
5 E. Kakou D
24 G. Kondo D
12 K. Valy D
15 G. Magnee M
18 P. Gerkens M
28 H. van der Bruggen M
20 Nazinho M
37 E. Diop F
13 D. Vanzeir F
10 O. Diakite F
Bench (9)
21 M. Delanghe
27 N. De Wilde
23 H. Jurado
17 O. Adewumi
2 I. Diakite
33 R. Caicedo
6 L. Agyekum
9 S. Ngoura
19 I. Diaby

Coach: Lars Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U
3,70
B ✓
3,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Simon Bourdeaud'hui · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.