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Ekstraklasa

Nieciecza

U U T

1–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nieciecza 15. · Lech Poznan 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Rakow	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Warta Poznan	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Wisla	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Legia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Nieciecza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Cracovia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Stal Mielec	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Leczna	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nieciecza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Leczna	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Warta Poznan	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leczna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Legia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Wisla Plock	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.