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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes
Fredrikstad
T T S T T
3–1
Full-time
KFUM Oslo
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad KFUM Oslo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,34 xG 1,05
35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredrikstad 14. · KFUM Oslo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Valerenga 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.7 6
2 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.9 3
3 Viking 2 1 0 1 +2 +1.3 3
4 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
5 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.1 3
6 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
7 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
8 Molde 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
9 Aalesund 2 0 1 1 -2 -3.4 1
10 Start 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.8 1
11 Brann 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
12 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.5 0
13 Rosenborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.3 0
14 Fredrikstad 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad KFUM Oslo
0–1 S. Hestnes
own goal
10′
1–1 R. R. Shein
19′
23′
T. Haltvik 1–2
M. Vinjor
2–2 J. Nunez
L. Owusu
31′
39′
🟨 Eirik Franke Saunes
Half-time 2–2
S. Laghzaoui 🔁
↦ J. Nunez
46′
46′
🔁 M. Grodem
↦ B. Kristensen
46′
🔁 H. Hoseth
↦ J. Hjorth
60′
🔁 R. Rasch
↦ T. Soras
60′
🔁 R. E. Vinge
↦ M. Vinjor
65′
ℹ️ Teodor Haltvik
VAR: Goal cancelled
S. Rafn 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
66′
75′
🔁 A. Nouri
↦ S. Sjokvist
S. Leach 🔁
↦ L. Owusu
82′
F. Ghebreyohannes 🔁
↦ D. Eid
93′
K. Okpaleke 🔁
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
93′
98′
🟨 Hakon Helland Hoseth
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

5-4-1
77 M. Borsheim G
16 D. Eid D
28 S. Owusu D
12 U. Fredriksen D
4 F. Holme D
13 S. Sorlokk D
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
24 L. Owusu M
21 R. R. Shein M
23 H. Skogvold M
10 J. Nunez F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
6 S. Leach
19 F. Ghebreyohannes
14 M. Nilsson
2 K. Okpaleke
5 S. Rafn
3 A. Andresen
9 S. Laghzaoui
15 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

KFUM Oslo

3-4-3
12 K. Bakowski G
2 D. Schneider D
5 F. Berglie D
19 E. Saunes D
21 S. Sjokvist M
27 T. Soras M
8 S. Hestnes M
16 J. Hjorth M
9 M. Vinjor F
17 T. Haltvik F
22 B. Kristensen F
Bench (9)
25 H. Jenssen
33 A. Nouri
7 R. Rasch
28 M. Grodem
14 H. Hoseth
20 M. Najafzadeh
23 M. Eikrem
4 M. Njie
18 R. E. Vinge

Coach: Johannes Moesgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Tore Sinnes · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.