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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Piszczelok

Lechia Gdansk

T S T S U

5–1

Full-time

Nieciecza

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 28%

31%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,71 xG 1,36

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 13. · Nieciecza 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	17	9	3	5	+8	-3.6	30
2	Jagiellonia	14	8	3	3	+9	-1.3	27
3	Wisla Plock	15	7	6	2	+9	+4.4	27
4	Radomiak Radom	17	7	4	6	+5	+1.5	25
5	Lech Poznan	15	6	6	3	+3	+9.9	24
6	Korona Kielce	16	6	5	5	+3	-1.8	23
7	Rakow	15	7	2	6	+0	+1.6	23
8	Cracovia	15	6	4	5	+3	+3.4	22
9	Zaglebie	15	5	6	4	+5	-2.4	21
10	Widzew Lodz	17	6	2	9	-1	+3.2	20
11	Pogon Szczecin	16	6	2	8	-2	+7.6	20
12	Motor Lublin	15	4	7	4	-4	+0.2	19
13	Lechia Gdansk	16	5	4	7	-7	-1.5	19
14	Legia	15	4	6	5	+1	+0.8	18
15	Arka Gdynia	16	5	3	8	-15	-6.6	18
16	GKS Katowice	15	5	2	8	-6	-7.6	17
17	Nieciecza	16	4	4	8	-8	-2.4	16
18	Piast Gliwice	15	3	5	7	-3	-5.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
2	Gornik Zabrze	9	6	1	2	+10	+2.1	19
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	+6.2	19
4	Arka Gdynia	7	5	2	0	+6	-3.5	17
5	Zaglebie	7	4	3	0	+12	+2.6	15
6	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
7	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	0	3	+6	+7.6	15
8	Cracovia	8	4	3	1	+5	+5.0	15
9	Widzew Lodz	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.3	14
10	Legia	8	3	4	1	+5	+0.6	13
11	Korona Kielce	7	4	1	2	+4	+0.4	13
12	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	+1	+6.6	13
13	Lechia Gdansk	7	3	2	2	+2	+1.0	11
14	Motor Lublin	7	2	4	1	+1	+4.7	10
15	GKS Katowice	8	3	1	4	-2	-3.8	10
16	Rakow	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.4	8
17	Piast Gliwice	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.4	6
18	Nieciecza	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	8	5	0	3	+1	+0.2	15
2	Jagiellonia	7	3	3	1	+2	-1.9	12
3	Lech Poznan	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.3	11
4	Nieciecza	8	3	2	3	+0	-0.5	11
5	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.8	11
6	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-1	-2.2	10
7	Motor Lublin	8	2	3	3	-5	-4.5	9
8	Wisla Plock	7	1	5	1	+0	-1.8	8
9	Piast Gliwice	8	2	2	4	-1	-4.1	8
10	Lechia Gdansk	9	2	2	5	-9	-2.5	8
11	Cracovia	7	2	1	4	-2	-1.6	7
12	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
13	Widzew Lodz	8	2	0	6	-4	+1.0	6
14	Zaglebie	8	1	3	4	-7	-5.0	6
15	Legia	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.3	5
16	Pogon Szczecin	8	1	2	5	-8	-0.0	5
17	Radomiak Radom	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.9	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.