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Süper Lig

Referee: Cihan Aydin

Rizespor

U U S U T

0–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 16%

23%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 0,64

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

16 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 11. · Kayserispor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	2	1	+20	+17.0	32
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	4	0	+18	+17.7	31
3	Trabzonspor	13	8	4	1	+11	+1.5	28
4	Samsunspor	13	6	6	1	+7	+8.1	24
5	Goztep	13	6	5	2	+9	+3.1	23
6	Gaziantep	13	6	4	3	+0	+1.8	22
7	Besiktas	13	6	3	4	+5	+10.6	21
8	Kocaelispor	14	5	3	6	-3	-2.1	18
9	Alanyaspor	13	3	6	4	-1	-5.1	15
10	Konyaspor	13	4	3	6	-2	-2.4	15
11	Rizespor	13	3	5	5	-5	-1.8	14
12	Antalyaspor	13	4	2	7	-10	-9.2	14
13	Buyuksehyr	13	3	4	6	+1	-1.7	13
14	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-5	-7.4	13
15	Genclerbirligi	14	3	2	9	-7	-9.4	11
16	Eyüpspor	13	2	3	8	-9	-5.8	9
17	Kayserispor	13	1	6	6	-18	-8.2	9
18	Karagumruk	13	2	2	9	-11	-6.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	5	2	0	+10	+9.0	17
2	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+8	+12.4	16
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+8	+5.3	15
4	Kocaelispor	7	4	2	1	+4	+4.0	14
5	Goztep	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.1	12
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+7.0	12
7	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-3	+3.4	11
8	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	+2	+5.6	10
9	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	-1.4	8
10	Eyüpspor	7	2	2	3	-3	-1.4	8
11	Konyaspor	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
13	Rizespor	7	2	1	4	-6	+1.6	7
14	Buyuksehyr	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.1	4
17	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.6	4
18	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-4	-1.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	4	3	0	+10	+5.3	15
2	Galatasaray	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.0	15
3	Trabzonspor	6	4	1	1	+3	-3.8	13
4	Samsunspor	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.1	12
5	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.9	11
6	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+3	+5.0	11
7	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.6	11
8	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-1	-5.5	10
9	Antalyaspor	7	3	1	3	-1	-6.6	10
10	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.3	8
11	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	+2	-0.3	7
12	Rizespor	6	1	4	1	+1	-3.4	7
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-3.7	7
14	Genclerbirligi	8	1	1	6	-5	-10.8	4
15	Karagumruk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.4	4
16	Kayserispor	6	0	4	2	-6	-4.7	4
17	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4
18	Eyüpspor	6	0	1	5	-6	-4.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.