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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Ried
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Wolfsberger AC
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 10. · Wolfsberger AC 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 7 4 3 +12 +3.4 25
2 SK Rapid 14 7 3 4 +4 +0.7 24
3 Sturm Graz 13 7 1 5 +6 +4.6 22
4 Hartberg 14 6 4 4 +4 -1.0 22
5 LASK 14 7 1 6 -1 -3.6 22
6 Austria Vienna 14 7 1 6 -2 -0.4 22
7 Wolfsberger AC 14 6 3 5 +5 -2.6 21
8 Tirol 13 4 5 4 +0 +6.1 17
9 Altach 14 4 5 5 -1 +0.5 17
10 Ried 14 5 2 7 -5 -2.7 17
11 Grazer AK 14 2 6 6 -12 -2.3 12
12 BW Linz 14 3 1 10 -10 -2.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -25 Wolfsberger AC – Ried 1–2 2. Jun -23 Ried – Wolfsberger AC 1–2 1. Apr -23 Wolfsberger AC – Ried 1–0 19. Mar -23 Ried – Wolfsberger AC 0–0 9. Oct -22 Wolfsberger AC – Ried 1–2

Match report

Ried Wolfsberger AC
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Atanga
↦ E. Kojzek
46′
🔁 M. Pink
↦ A. Gattermayer
56′
🟨 Cheick Mamadou Diabate
M. Grosse 🔁
↦ N. Bajlicz
59′
66′
🔁 F. Wohlmuth
↦ B. Matic
J. Boguo 🔁
↦ A. van Wyk
75′
89′
🔁 T. Gruber
↦ D. Baumgartner
1–0 K. Mutandwa ⚽
M. Sollbauer
90′
95′
🟨 Tobias Gruber
96′
🟨 René Renner
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ried

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
5 N. Havenaar D
23 M. Sollbauer D
30 O. Steurer D
18 F. Rossdorfer M
6 Y. Maart M
26 J. Mayer M
17 P. Pomer M
28 N. Bajlicz F
7 K. Mutandwa F
29 A. van Wyk F
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
8 M. Rasner
9 S. Sane
13 P. Kiedl
15 J. Boguo
10 M. Grosse
24 C. Wernitznig
3 J. Scherzer
25 D. Kirnbauer

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
12 N. Polster G
22 D. Baumgartner D
15 C. Diabate D
37 N. Wimmer D
2 B. Matic M
8 S. Piesinger M
18 A. Schopf M
77 R. Renner M
20 D. Zukic F
7 A. Gattermayer F
9 E. Kojzek F
Bench (9)
1 L. Gutlbauer
13 T. Gruber
31 F. Wohlmuth
35 E. Chukwu
30 M. Sulzner
10 D. Avdijaj
34 E. Agyeman
17 D. Atanga
32 M. Pink

Coach: Ismail Atalan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.