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Ekstraklasa
Nieciecza
T U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 31%
11%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 64%
78%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nieciecza 16. · Lechia Gdansk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 10 6 3 1 +16 21
2 Lechia Gdansk 10 5 4 1 +9 19
3 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 4 1 +8 19
4 Rakow 9 5 3 1 +6 18
5 Slask Wroclaw 10 4 5 1 +2 17
6 Jagiellonia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Zaglebie 9 5 0 4 -2 15
8 Piast Gliwice 11 4 2 5 -1 14
9 Gornik Zabrze 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Cracovia 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Radomiak Radom 10 2 6 2 +1 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 -5 12
13 Wisla 10 3 2 5 -3 11
14 Wisla Plock 10 3 1 6 +0 10
15 Legia 8 3 0 5 -2 9
16 Nieciecza 9 1 4 4 -3 7
17 Warta Poznan 10 1 4 5 -5 7
18 Leczna 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.